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The semiconductor industry, which has used the observation made by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore as its target development in recent decades, is now set to abandon the approach.
The move is thought to be a reflection that companies are struggling to keep up with the pace of innovation required to cram ever more transistors onto a finite space. Among the most limiting issues has been the heat generated as more and more circuitry is jammed onto a silicon chip
According to the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, the industry body that sets out the direction it will take, is holding its final meeting in Atlanta, Georgia, this week as it prepares to lay out its plans for between 2015 and 2030.
It has said it must 'define new drivers to help it stay on a path of productivity and profitability'.
A meeting of the organisation next month will 'for the first time drive a top-down system-driven roadmap framework'.
This will follow an approach that is being called More than Moore – which will aim to develop chips appropriate for applications like smartphones and supercomputers rather than simply trying to aggressively improve performance and meet cost requirements.
A paper published on the ITRS website said: 'Historically, the ITRS has used metrics such as transistor density, number of cores, power, etc, to roadmap technology evolution of integrated circuits.
'These metrics are essentially driven by the physical-dimension scaling as predicted by Moore's Law.
'However, new requirements from applications such as mobility, datacenters, etc require a new, system-level roadmapping approach, as these applications imply roadmaps for system-level metrics.'
Moore's Law predicts that the number of transistors on a chip will double ever two years. This has proven accurate for the past few decades (illustrated above) but it is now slowing down
The move is thought to be a reflection that companies are struggling to keep up with the pace of innovation required to cram ever more transistors onto a finite space. Among the most limiting issues has been the heat generated as more and more circuitry is jammed onto a silicon chip
According to the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, the industry body that sets out the direction it will take, is holding its final meeting in Atlanta, Georgia, this week as it prepares to lay out its plans for between 2015 and 2030.
It has said it must 'define new drivers to help it stay on a path of productivity and profitability'.
A meeting of the organisation next month will 'for the first time drive a top-down system-driven roadmap framework'.
This will follow an approach that is being called More than Moore – which will aim to develop chips appropriate for applications like smartphones and supercomputers rather than simply trying to aggressively improve performance and meet cost requirements.
A paper published on the ITRS website said: 'Historically, the ITRS has used metrics such as transistor density, number of cores, power, etc, to roadmap technology evolution of integrated circuits.
'These metrics are essentially driven by the physical-dimension scaling as predicted by Moore's Law.
'However, new requirements from applications such as mobility, datacenters, etc require a new, system-level roadmapping approach, as these applications imply roadmaps for system-level metrics.'
Moore's Law predicts that the number of transistors on a chip will double ever two years. This has proven accurate for the past few decades (illustrated above) but it is now slowing down