Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[dragontamer5788]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-adjusts-key-metric-as-officials-monitor-future-move-to-next-recovery-phase/2020/07/29/2f18fe04-d1a2-11ea-8d32-1ebf4e9d8e0d_story.html

Under the order, masks will be required at all businesses, commercial office buildings and locations that have public areas, including houses of worship, casinos, gyms and personal service establishments. It goes beyond Hogan’s previous order, which required masks inside grocery stores, pharmacies, retail stores, restaurants and when using public transportation.

Hogan said contact-tracing data indicates that gatherings of family and friends have been a large source of recent infections: In the past six weeks, 44 percent of the people were at family gatherings and 23 percent had attended a house party.

Hmm, an expansion of the mask rule will be taking effect soon. I guess I haven't gotten a public haircut, I haven't gone to church (still under the emergency ruling by the local bishop), certainly haven't gone to a casino, and run around for my exercise not a closed gym. I don't think my routine changes at all with this new mask requirement. I've been wearing a mask to work already. So I guess it was technically legal for my boss to keep the area mask free. Since masks were already in wide use in Maryland, I'm not sure if this additional mask order would help at all.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 50868 confirmed infected --- 255 more
- 36140 recovered --- 265 more
- 1727 fatalities --- 2 more
- 440046 suspected cases --- 2070 more
- 1591873 tests taken --- 29954 more - last updated July 28th
- 1616 waiting for test results --- 16 more
- 35741 under watch from authorities --- 402 more
- 403 hospitalized --- no change
- 42 in ICU --- 1 less

We've been having single digit daily death toll for the last 22 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 8th.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 51072 confirmed infected --- 204 more
- 36483 recovered --- 343 more
- 1735 fatalities --- 8 more
- 442088 suspected cases --- 2042 more
- 1591873 tests taken --- no change - last updated July 28th
- 1650 waiting for test results --- 34 more
- 35757 under watch from authorities --- 16 more
- 381 hospitalized --- 22 less
- 41 in ICU --- 1 less

We've been having single digit daily death toll for the last 23 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 8th.

Those 19 parishes that had their restrictions increased due to small but persistent outbreaks have seen their restrictions become less pronounced and almost on par with the rest of the country.

 

[harm9963]

Texas led the county in deaths for the month, harris county should be its own state!

ArcGIS Dashboards

ArcGIS Dashboards

harriscounty.maps.arcgis.com

 

[Caring1]

It doesn't look good once they reach ICU. 7 less but 7 more deaths.

Coincidence: there were many times where, despite X deaths, ICU number increased or had no change.

Yet the stats still show on average, deaths are equal to or greater than the decrease in ICU numbers.

 

[HTC]

Yet the stats still show on average, deaths are equal to or greater than the decrease in ICU numbers.

Just to "contradict" you, there were 8 fatalities yesterday, but 1 less ICU and 22 less hospitalized: like i said, coincidence.

 

[xman2007]

Covid-19: The emperors new clothes 2020 edition.

 

[dragontamer5788]

Maryland's %Positive score remains constant throughout this entire hospitalization rise.

From the Governor's office:

CONTACT TRACING DATA. In addition to identifying individuals who may have been infected with COVID-19, Maryland is now using contact tracing data to find patterns of behavior, and to identify where and how the virus is spreading. The governor announced the following findings based on recent interviews conducted with COVID-19 patients:

• Higher-Risk Gatherings (Percentage of Interviewed Cases):
  • Family Gatherings – 44%
  • House Parties – 23%
  • Outdoor Event – 21%
• Higher-Risk Locations (Percentage of Interviewed Cases):
  • Work Outside the Home – 54%
  • Indoor/Retail Shopping – 39%
  • Indoor Dining at Restaurant – 23%
  • Outdoor Dining at Restaurant – 23%
• Employment Information (Percentage of Interviewed Cases):
  • Health care – 25%
  • Other – Non-public Facing – 23%
  • Other – Public Facing – 13%
  • Restaurant/Food Service – 12%

Additional mask order by the Governor: https://governor.maryland.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Gatherings-10th-AMENDED-7.29.20.pdf

We're still basically in phase 2, aside from the additional mask requirement. 50% retail capacity, 50% church capacity. Etc. etc. Where "capacity" is defined by the local fire code.

 

[Tatty_Two]

England is pretty much fully open apart from schools which will be September and Gym's, Bowling Alley's and some beautician treatments which were all due to re-open today, Boris announced yesterday that these openings are postponed with immediate effect as there have been a few spikes of infections, mainly in the North of the country, none bad enough for a lockdown but local authorities there have legislation to back a hold on gatherings and external family visits to households for a couple of weeks as house parties and multiple household family gatherings seem to be the problem.

R rate is hovering on 1 as a nationwide average, I like the idea of localised intervention, if it works it might stop more severe lockdowns that would likely be more widespread.

 

[Caring1]

Just to "contradict" you, there were 8 fatalities yesterday, but 1 less ICU and 22 less hospitalized: like i said, coincidence.

That doesn't contradict what I said, it backs it up.

 

[HTC]

That doesn't contradict what I said, it backs it up.

The following are from a while ago but are just an example of fatalities number being lower than ICU drop number. Due to the lag in times between becoming hospitalized and being moved to ICU, and being moved to ICU and dying / recovering, fatalities can be smaller than the drop in ICU numbers just as easily as they can be higher.

View attachment 162462 View attachment 162463

- 1682 fatalities --- 3 more
- 67 in ICU --- 5 less

As for yesterday's numbers, Portugal's Health Site didn't publish them, which is why i didn't update the stats: this is a 1st for them, as far as i can recall.

 

[harm9963]

Not surprise at all , one of the reason Harris County blowing up, spin and truth , really sad .

Mexico records third-highest coronavirus death rate globally, behind Brazil and US; sixth in reported cases

Mexico reported the third-highest coronavirus-related death rate in the world on Saturday, trailing behind the United States and Brazil, with 46,688 deaths, according to John Hopkins University data.

www.foxnews.com

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, before yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 51463 confirmed infected --- 391 more
- 36984 recovered --- 501 more
- 17385 fatalities --- 3 more
- 445193 suspected cases --- 3105 more
- 1622951 tests taken --- 31078 more - last updated July 30th
- 1547 waiting for test results --- 103 less
- 36148 under watch from authorities --- 391 more
- 378 hospitalized --- 3 less
- 41 in ICU --- no change

We've been having single digit daily death toll for the last 25 consecutive days: last time we reached double digits was on July 8th.

In the above pics, it's two days instead of one because they weren't updated yesterday, for some reason i'm not aware of. The following pics are from our situation report of yesterday and today, respectively:

 

[harm9963]

Tale of two States, spin the truth !

 

[dragontamer5788]

I decided to add a bit more information today by clicking around + using some mild photoshop to put the stats all next to each other. Hospitalizations have a slight decline over the last two days. Deaths have remained more or less constant: no "blip" upwards yet.

As you can see, the various statistics: Number of Cases, %Positive, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, have very weak correlations.

 

[Tatty_Two]

There is a belief currently that the UK, but predominantly England is at the limit of lockdown easing whilst continuing to prevent a 2nd spike, infection rates have increased but most of those increases are in a small number of areas and are being managed locally........ not too significant at this stage but would be if unmanaged, the national R rate is hovering on R1 currently but we have no room to manoeuvre now.

There is talk that if schools all go back next month they can only do so if something that is currently eased is locked down again, the belief is that if schools add to what we already have unlocked we will spike a 2nd wave which we cannot afford with winter looming, the talk is that bar's and restaurants may have to close again. Statistics show that there is a swathe of the population that are ignoring safeguards, the single biggest setting that is encouraging Mr Covid back in strength is within households (the most difficult to control), too many multiple households converging at a single household for large family gatherings or house parties and not following Social Distancing guidelines, this is mainly in inner city areas, the 2nd biggest setting is pubs and restaurants and mainly 18 - 35 year olds.

 

[moproblems99]

18 - 35 year olds

You know, what I find most interesting in this 'second' wave is that most of the people causing the new spikes are from the groups typically preaching lockdowns, mandatory masks, and social distancing. Then they go out and ignore their own shouts.

 

[EarthDog]

You know, what I find most interesting in this 'second' wave is that most of the people causing the new spikes are from the groups typically espousing lockdowns, mandatory masks, and social distancing. Then they go out and ignore their own shouts.

Are they though? I thought I read something about mainly the young people who are going out to bars and those who are NOT wearing masks and eschewing social distancing that are getting affected and causing additional community spread...But this, parties and gatherings, etc is what I read are a significant part of it... not those following the guidelines. The data we have shows the average infected age dropped.

 

[moproblems99]

But this, parties and gatherings, etc is what I read are a significant part of it....

Does it matter where they go if they are being hypocrites?

Edit: I just find it interesting that the (sometimes) most vocal people about these policies are the ones that seem to be ignoring them most. Pretty neat graph below but too bad it is pretty much already out of date:

 

[EarthDog]

Does it matter where they go if they are being hypocrites?

I think you missed my point. They are NOT being hypocrites. It isn't the mask wearing and social distancing crowd that is spurring the increase in infections.

You said espousing lockdowns/masks/sd... espousing means to adopt or support. It's those who are NOT wearing masks and social distancing who are going to high risk things (bars, parties, etc) that is part of the increase... the youth of the country.

 

[moproblems99]

I think you missed my point. They are NOT being hypocrites. It isn't the mask wearing and social distancing crowd that is spurring the increase in infections.

You said espousing lockdowns/masks/sd... espousing means to adopt or support. It's those who are NOT wearing masks and social distancing who are going to high risk things (bars, parties, etc) that is part of the increase.

Except I said they typically belong to the groups. As in: 18 to 35 year olds typically have hot dogs for lunch. The fact that some choose to have hamburgers on a given day doesn't mean they don't belong to the group that typically eats hot dogs.

Edit: Again, there is no feasible way to prove person x said where masks on this day and then went out to a bar without one the next. I'm just saying, the people from this group typically chant these mantras so the most so it is surprising they are the ones getting infected more now. I am simply wondering why as you can see through most of that graph above, they remained less affected until now.

 

[EarthDog]

Except I said they typically belong to the groups. As in: 18 to 35 year olds typically have hot dogs for lunch. The fact that some choose to have hamburgers on a given day doesn't mean they don't belong to the group that typically eats hot dogs.

Sorry wut? What are you saying here? I've been a bit off today so it could be me.

All I am saying is that your assertion that people who wear masks, lockdown, and socially distant are causing the uptick is wrong. Florida is ecosystem of its own... DeSantis fucked up big there so its just a cesspool of infection.

I just find it interesting that the (sometimes) most vocal people about these policies are the ones that seem to be ignoring them most.

I find this statement to be false. lol These people aren't the problem.

Four Reasons Why Coronavirus Cases Are Increasing But Deaths Aren’t—Yet

America is well into the second wave of COVID-19, but there hasn't been a resurgence of deaths. We need to ask why not?

www.forbes.com

The final theory holds that behavior has changed differently for different segments of the population, which are at different risk of dying. According to this theory, early in the epidemic everyone (more or less) participated in the widespread social distancing that curtailed the first wave, perhaps due to the fact that compliance was legally compelled through business closure and shelter-in-place orders. According to this theory, now that businesses and beaches (and restaurants in many places) are open, younger people have resumed their traditional summertime activities while age groups at greater risk for severe disease or death are not, leading to a surge in cases among the young, but not the old.

There is lots of anecdotal evidence supporting this theory, including widespread reports of young adults congregating in large gatherings, not complying with social distancing guidelines, and even attending parties with the intent of being infected

Anyhoo, I hope I understood your point. I simply don't agree considering the information we have.

 

[moproblems99]

Sorry wut? What are you saying here? I've been a bit off today so it could be me.

All I am saying is that your assertion that people who wear masks, lockdown, and socially distant are causing the uptick is wrong.

I don't think it came out right on my end either. In any case, it isn't really important.

 

[moproblems99]

DeSantis fucked up big there

This is where I disagree. Florida should have been right with New York because right when this was spreading is when the big push of snow birds happen after the holidays. Not to mention, when New York got locked down, they all came down to escape. We shouldn't have been delayed by three to four months. It should have been a week or two at most.

 

[EarthDog]

This is where I disagree. Florida should have been right with New York because right when this was spreading is when the big push of snow birds happen after the holidays. Not to mention, when New York got locked down, they all came down to escape. We shouldn't have been delayed by three to four months. It should have been a week or two at most.

LOL, that man borked it all up... the results speak for themselves - the chronology is painful.... we'll agree to disagree.


I'm just amazed throughout all of these threads how there are so many different interpretations for the same data, lol.