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China Doubles Down on Semiconductor Research, Outpacing US with High-Impact Papers

AleksandarK

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When the US imposed sanctions on Chinese semiconductor makers, China began the push for sovereign chipmaking tools. According to a study conducted by the Emerging Technology Observatory (ETO), Chinese institutions have dramatically outpaced their US counterparts in next-generation chipmaking research. Between 2018 and 2023, nearly 475,000 scholarly articles on chip design and fabrication were published worldwide. Chinese research groups contributed 34% of the output—compared to just 15% from the United States and 18% from Europe. The study further emphasizes the quality of China's contributions. Focusing on the top 10% of the most-cited articles, Chinese researchers were responsible for 50% of this high-impact work, while American and European research accounted for only 22% and 17%, respectively.

This trend shows China's lead isn't about numbers only, and suggests that its work is resonating strongly within the global academic community. Key research areas include neuromorphic, optoelectric computing, and, of course, lithography tools. China is operating mainly outside the scope of US export restrictions that have, since 2022, shrunk access to advanced chipmaking equipment—precisely, tools necessary for fabricating chips below the 14 nm process node. Although US sanctions were intended to limit China's access to cutting-edge manufacturing technology, the massive body of Chinese research suggests that these measures might eventually prove less effective, with Chinese institutions continuing to push forward with influential, high-citation studies. However, Chinese theoretical work is yet to be proven in the field, as only a single company currently manufactures 7 nm and 5 nm nodes—SMIC. Chinese semiconductor makers still need more advanced lithography solutions to reach high-volume manufacturing on more advanced nodes like 3 nm and 2 nm to create more powerful domestic chips for AI and HPC.



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As long as the US has TSMC and Intel I'm fine.
It might not be as long as you think.
China, E.U. and Japan are already pouring hundreds of billions into semiconductor and AI research. Don't forget, nVidia, Apple, Samsung, etc are already using for years AI in order to design chips, and currently there is an outgoing AI arms race. Who knows how the whole situation will look 10 years from now.
Stay tuned. ;)
 
As a PhD chemist, I can say that China has a propensity for being a research paper factory. The number of papers published in a given time frame is not a very good metric of accomplishment.
 
This trend shows China's quantitative lead isn't about numbers only
This sentence does not make sense. Quantitative anything is always about numbers only. Should be rephrased, imo. "China's lead is both quantitative and qualitative," perhaps?
 
As a PhD chemist, I can say that China has a propensity for being a research paper factory. The number of papers published in a given time frame is not a very good metric of accomplishment.
What metric would you propose that's superior to the one used in this article - number of 10% most-cited articles?
 
This sentence does not make sense. Quantitative anything is always about numbers only. Should be rephrased, imo. "China's lead is both quantitative and qualitative," perhaps?
It's fine as it is. The same thought could be conveyed as "This trend shows China's quantitative lead isn't quantitative only."

It might not be as long as you think.
China, E.U. and Japan are already pouring hundreds of billions into semiconductor and AI research. Don't forget, nVidia, Apple, Samsung, etc are already using for years AI in order to design chips, and currently there is an outgoing AI arms race. Who knows how the whole situation will look 10 years from now.
Stay tuned. ;)
To add to that, AI is used in chip manufacturing too. Metrology and quality control. Photomask optimisation. Just off the top of my head.
 
I know if A,I. starts coming from China I'll never use it. I trust them to tell the truth about anything as much as both my ex wives. Plus I really don't like re-education camps too much.
 
What metric would you propose that's superior to the one used in this article - number of 10% most-cited articles?
I would say publications are a bad metric in any form or fashion. They are mostly driven by the need for professors to get tenure and to get grant money. I have even seen tenure committees just look at the number of publications and not what's in them. The best metric is actual technological breakthroughs once discovered having a noticeable impact on improving our quality of life. Sometimes papers help to bring about these breakthroughs by notifying other scientists but the vast majority have useless information.
 
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As a PhD chemist, I can say that China has a propensity for being a research paper factory. The number of papers published in a given time frame is not a very good metric of accomplishment.

As a C/C++ Software Engineer I have to spend some time on reviewing scientific publications and some Youtube videos mostly related to RISC-V. Based on my experience greater than 95%, publications could be classified as a "scientific crap".

The problem is actually very big here since academia researches are forced to release papers to show that they are doing R&D. But R&D has two parts, that is Research, and the second one is Development. That is, brining the Research to Life. This is where most research work goes to nowhere after it was published.

It is Not enough to publish a paper and it is very important to bring a Research to a Manufacturing phase.

TSMC researchers do Not release a lot of R&D articles at research.tsmc.com/english/index.html, however TSMC is the best when it comes to Manufacturing.
 
> Governments going for every sanction they can think of attempting to slow down the obvious rapid growth of Chinese semiconductor industry.

> Some people on the internet everytime an article describing some new Chinese milestone:
IMG_0887.jpeg
 
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