Maps, science, data & statistics tracking of COVID-19

[FordGT90Concept]

Even 40 to 49 age bracket has seen fewer deaths than i'd expect but those really REALLY affected are of age 80+, which have just over 2/3 of all COVID-19 deaths (18.21% of those infected in that age group): a direct consequence of the serious infection rates across multiple retirement homes.

DNR/DNI orders likely contribute.

 

[HTC]

DNR/DNI orders likely contribute.

To my knowledge, we don't use those here.

 

[Tatty_Two]

UK Update @ 10 May:

 

[dragontamer5788]

Maryland Update, 10 May.

Pages - Home

An official website of the State of Maryland.

coronavirus.maryland.gov

Spoiler

Hospitalization numbers continue to decline, but number of cases + deaths are still up. Hospitalization numbers seem flat for over the past week. We've clearly plateaued from a hospital-resource perspective.

Number of cases/day seem very noisy, I don't think I can make a conclusion from that graph. It seems higher by my eyes, but also remember that Maryland has increased testing capacity.

 

[Tatty_Two]

We were similar for 2 weeks in terms of infection rates and hospitalisations with death rates still fairly high, often that is because those in hospital with serious cases may have got infected 4 weeks+ previously, we are now seeing after those 2 weeks the death rates falling by a more substantial amount.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 27689 confirmed infected --- 108 more
- 2549 recovered --- no change
- 1144 fatalities --- 9 more
- 276153 suspected cases --- 1577 more
- 517660 tests taken --- numbers weren't updated again
- 2642 waiting for test results --- 112 less
- 28307 under watch from authorities --- 1963 more
- 805 hospitalized --- 8 more
- 112 in ICU --- no change

2nd day in a row fatalities increased by less than 10.

Judging by these numbers, it appears our easing of restrictions isn't yet "being felt": i do expect it to "be felt" before the end of this week.

 

[Tatty_Two]

UK update as @ 11 May:

I think their fatality daily figures should be the other way around lol, 210 in hospitals and a total of 229 in all settings.

 

[the54thvoid]

UK update as @ 11 May:

View attachment 154771
I think their fatality daily figures should be the other way around lol, 210 in hospitals and a total of 229 in all settings.

Zombie plague has begun, the dead are rising.

Those numbers are always low after the weekend. They get adjusted back up once the Sat/Sun count comes in.

 

[Tatty_Two]

Zombie plague has begun, the dead are rising.

Those numbers are always low after the weekend. They get adjusted back up once the Sat/Sun count comes in.

Yeah usually there is a catchup on Tues or Wed, although last week it was relatively minor compared to previous weeks, lets hope it's the same this week!

 

[HTC]

Yeah usually there is a catchup on Tues or Wed, although last week it was relatively minor compared to previous weeks, lets hope it's the same this week!

The same thing happens with Portugal's "tests taken".

 

[Tomgang]

Update from Denmark.

Bad news i´m afraid after re open. Virus is out of control and we had to lock down again...just kiddiing guys, its going pretty good so far. Phase 2 of re open has officielly started today and RO has gone from 0.6 just before phase 1 re open to 0.9 at its peak and down again to 0.7 just before Phase 2 re open and that has yet again alowed to open up for more than exspected again.

We are fighting this pest, while we re open. Phase 1 whas a succes so far. Here Kitty Kitty, have some hand sanitizer you little pest.

Alright here are the numbers up til today. Dont be fooled by the numbers has raised a bit the last two days. That is because it has been weekgend and in the weekgends there are not as many declared recovered as there are on the normal work days. This has been the same repeat the last 3 weekgends so far. You can also see that in the numbers if you go back in the tabel below.

Date Hospitalized Critical In respirator dead

11/05	198	43	33	533
10/05	196	40	33	529
09/05	194	39	32	526
08/05	205	42	35	522
07/05	199	43	39	514
06/05	209	46	41	506
05/05	228	49	39	503
04/05	252	57	45	493
03/05	243	62	46	484
02/05	232	60	44	475
01/05	249	61	44	460
30/04	255	62	50	452
29/04	267	66	50	443
28/04	284	66	50	434
27/04	310	72	55	427
26/04	285	70	56	422
25/04	290	70	56	418
24/04	320	69	58	403
23/04	319	74	61	394
22/04	324	80	68	384
21/04	335	81	72	370
20/04	336	84	72	364
19/04	319	84	73	355
18/04	317	87	76	346
17/04	350	93	74	336
16/04	353	92	72	321
15/04	362	89	75	309
14/04	380	93	80	299
13/04	388	100	87	285
12/04	396	104	85	273
11/04	408	106	90	260
10/04	401	113	95	247
09/04	433	120	100	237
08/04	453	127	103	218
07/04	472	127	103	203
06/04	503	139	108	187
05/04	504	144	107	179
04/04	507	142	112	161
03/04	517	146	116	139
02/04	525	153	138	123
01/04	535	146	129	104
31/03	529	145	131	90
30/03	533	137	119	77
29/03	499	131	113	72
28/03	459	121	104	65
27/03	430	109	89	52
26/03	386	94	78	41
25/03	350	87	76	34
24/03	301	69	58	32
23/03	254	55	47	24
22/03	232	46	40	13
21/03	206	42	35	13
20/03	186	37	32	9
19/03	153	30	27	6
18/03	129	24		4
17/03	82	18		4

So yeah it´s going great in Denmark fighting this virus... so far. But now we have open up for even more, there are also a bigger chance now for a new out break. I hope and beg that dosent happen. But we have just seen a new out break happen in china, that is a reminder of what can happen if we are not careful.

Keep on fighting the virus. Keep your distance and wash your hands. It truly does make a difference.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 27913 confirmed infected --- 224 more
- 3013 recovered --- 464 more
- 1163 fatalities --- 19 more
- 279933 suspected cases --- 3780 more
- 553855 tests taken --- 36195 more, after not being updated for 2 days
- 2719 waiting for test results --- 77 more
- 27054 under watch from authorities --- 1253 less
- 709 hospitalized --- 96 less
- 113 in ICU --- 1 more

Several notes:

- substantial jump in recovered
- more than double of yesterday's deaths
- HUGE drop in hospitalized

 

[dragontamer5788]

I too have noticed the weekend effect, and I think its part of Maryland's numbers.

Notice the big drop (roughly -100 or so) on Monday's stats. But today, Tuesday, the Hospitalized stats are +19.

You can see the "weekend drops" consistently. I think people would rather go to the hospital on weekdays, or something like that. Probably best to ignore Monday statistics as an outlier (which cover the weekend, and people are clearly behaving differently on weekends).

 

[lexluthermiester]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:

View attachment 154911 View attachment 154912

On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 27913 confirmed infected --- 224 more
- 3013 recovered --- 464 more
- 1163 fatalities --- 19 more
- 279933 suspected cases --- 3780 more
- 553855 tests taken --- 36195 more, after not being updated for 2 days
- 2719 waiting for test results --- 77 more
- 27054 under watch from authorities --- 1253 less
- 709 hospitalized --- 96 less
- 113 in ICU --- 1 more

Several notes:

- substantial jump in recovered
- more than double of yesterday's deaths
- HUGE drop in hospitalized

I've been continuing to watch world wide numbers but have been paying special attention to the posts you have been making. Portugal's numbers are trending strongly to a recovering state. Italy, Spain and France have been trending strongly in the same direction. The US numbers in some area's are taking longer to show steady improvement, but in other areas, they are remarkable. I'm still not buying China's numbers, however as they are seemingly on par with S. Korea, Japan, Taiwan and other reporting Asian nations one has to at least recognize plausibility.

 

[the54thvoid]

Weekly update on total deaths for the top 5 (bottom?).


USA - 83,121 -- 18.5% up ---> was 23%
UK - 32,692 -- 13.7% up ---> compare to 14%, two weeks ago after Govt. calculations amended
Italy - 30,911 --6.3% up ---> was 8%
France - 26,991 -- 6.7% up ---> was 8%
Spain - 26,920 -- 5% up ---> was 9%

One to watch:

Brazil - 12,062 (Bolsinaro has been ... colourful with his portrayal of the virus. Brazil now accounts for 68% of South American deaths).

And remember - none of these stats are reliable, but they're all we've got.

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 28132 confirmed infected --- 219 more
- 3182 recovered --- 169 more
- 1175 fatalities --- 12 more
- 282961 suspected cases --- 3028 more
- 566172 tests taken --- 12317 more
- 2686 waiting for test results --- 33 less
- 26278 under watch from authorities --- 776 less
- 692 hospitalized --- 17 less
- 103 in ICU --- 10 less

We don't yet appear to be seeing the effects of the easing of restrictions: dunno if that is good or bad.

It appears we've been conducting fewer tests lately: we had days with over 16K tests but today we did about 25% less then that. On the positive side, both hospitalized and ICU numbers dropped again.

Today marks the 103rd anniversary of Fátima's religious event, where many tens of thousands go to Fátima on pilgramage. However, and because of this Pandemic, all events have been cancelled to the general public with the Church opting to do a televised / Internet event instead, like the Pope did for Easter Celebrations, for obvious reasons. Unfortunately, some "idiots" (too good a word to describe these folks) berated the local Bishop for this decision ...

 

[dragontamer5788]

We don't yet appear to be seeing the effects of the easing of restrictions: dunno if that is good or bad.

With a 2-week incubation period, I wouldn't expect eased restrictions to make things worse for ~2 weeks. IIRC, Portugal lifted restrictions on May 3rd?

Even then, if contract tracing is effective in your country, things won't get worse even after restrictions are lifted. There's more awareness of the virus, and more people doing what they can to stop it (Ex: Work from home / Telework where available). There's no way it would spread as quickly as it did in February. The question is if people can keep that magic "R" value below 1... especially with how long it takes to "react" to any changes. (again: long 2-week incubation periods)

------

My state, Maryland, is still in a worse boat than your country, despite having 60% of your population. We'll probably have to stay locked down longer, to bring the virus numbers down further before reopening. I know people were playing it a bit lax for Mother's day. So I'm expecting a "Mothers day bump" 2 weeks from now in my area.

 

[HTC]

With a 2-week incubation period, I wouldn't expect eased restrictions to make things worse for ~2 weeks. IIRC, Portugal lifted restrictions on May 3rd?

Even then, if contract tracing is effective in your country, things won't get worse even after restrictions are lifted. There's more awareness of the virus, and more people doing what they can to stop it (Ex: Work from home / Telework where available). There's no way it would spread as quickly as it did in February. The question is if people can keep that magic "R" value below 1... especially with how long it takes to "react" to any changes. (again: long 2-week incubation periods)

------

My state, Maryland, is still in a worse boat than your country, despite having 60% of your population. We'll probably have to stay locked down longer, to bring the virus numbers down further before reopening. I know people were playing it a bit lax for Mother's day. So I'm expecting a "Mothers day bump" 2 weeks from now in my area.

May 4th, actually.

Judging by:

Today marks the 103rd anniversary of Fátima's religious event, where many tens of thousands go to Fátima on pilgramage. However, and because of this Pandemic, all events have been cancelled to the general public with the Church opting to do a televised / Internet event instead, like the Pope did for Easter Celebrations, for obvious reasons. Unfortunately, some "idiots" (too good a word to describe these folks) berated the local Bishop for this decision ...

I'm not so sure ...

 

[Vayra86]

Up and up, because the game plan is controlled herd immunity and the statement above.

Is controlled herd immunity the actual, official game plan in the US??? Wow. The jury is already out on that one... you won't achieve it, and there is reinfection risk.

Its also an easy way to lose your lower class and unemployed, elderly... basically all those groups that cost money.

As far as I know, most countries adopt a strategy of reduced social traffic until a vaccine is ready.

 

[rtwjunkie]

OK, trying for the 2nd time. I spent 10 minutes and deleted it all.

Louisiana numbers for May 13th (last update by me was 7 days ago):

32,662 cases (30,399 on May 6th)
2,315 deaths (2,094 May 6th)
1,194 hospitalized (1,465 on May 6th)
147 on ventilators (187 on May 6th)
237,904 tests have been conducted (194,672 on May 6th) -in a population of 4.6 million

22,608 Presumed recovered (20,316 on May 5th) confirmed this stat is only being updated weekly.

Based on 2 weeks of declining numbers from our extremely high infection rate that existed in April, Governor Edwards has decided that Louisiana will enter Phase 1 of the WH guidelines for reopening this Friday (May 15th). Phase 1 is supposed to be 14 days per the guidelines. The Governor though, reasoned that it is supposed to be based on 14 days of data as well. Therefore our Phase 1 will be 21 days, in order to make sure his team can get an actual 14 days of data. Then they can decide to move forward to Phase 2 with expanded re-openings, stay the same, or reverse course.

ldh.la.gov/Coronavirus/

 

[HTC]

Portugal's numbers have been updated:



On the left, yesterday's numbers and on the right, today's numbers (click for full picture):

- 28319 confirmed infected --- 187 more
- 3198 recovered --- 16 more
- 1184 fatalities --- 9 more
- 286285 suspected cases --- 3324 more
- 582341 tests taken --- 16169 more
- 2676 waiting for test results --- 10 less
- 26082 under watch from authorities --- 196 less
- 680 hospitalized --- 12 less
- 108 in ICU --- 5 more

It appears we've been conducting fewer tests lately: we had days with over 16K tests but today we did about 25% less then that.

Just "messing with me" ...

 

[dragontamer5788]

Governor Larry Hogan - Official Website for the Governor of Maryland

OFFICE OF GOVERNOR LARRY HOGAN

governor.maryland.gov

With Maryland's hospitalization numbers lower than it was 2 weeks ago (although there was an upward blip last week), Governor Hogan has decided to lift the stay-at-home order, and move onto the "safer at home" advisory starting this Friday. I'd personally be more comfortable if he chose the "blip" as the starting point of the 2-week decline... but I do agree that we have had hospitalizations decline for two weeks (at least... by some interpretation of the argument).

Covid Cases and Deaths continue upwards, despite the downward trend in hospitalizations. This makes me nervous of course.

"Safer at home" order is as follows: https://governor.maryland.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Gatherings-SIXTH-AMENDED-5.13.20.pdf

Summary:

* Churches must remain at 50% capacity or less (defined by local fire code), but are allowed to reopen.

* Retail stores must remain at 50% capacity or less (defined by local fire code), but are allowed to reopen.

* Manufacturing will be open.

* Face masks are required in all indoor locations.

* Schools remain closed.

* Food service remains carry-out and drive-through only. Main dining areas remain closed.

* Indoor fitness, Gyms, Senior centers, Theaters, "Pedestrian Concourses" of Malls, Massage / Spa / Tattoo parlors, various entertainment centers (bingo, bowling, pool alleys) are closed. A long list at the end, but you probably get the gist.

 

[Tomgang]

Just as we have taken the first week of phase 2 re opening of Denmark. A very surprising news has come from danish government. That is that even throw we already have open up for more than expected, they will now open up for even more already and begin to plan that next week what to open. I seriously dit not see that coming. All throw I'm excited about it, I am also concerned as we have seen in Asien countries that there can happen a second outbreak. Also my concern is that they now recommend only one meter of distance from before 2 meter. Just don't hope government moving to fast for re opening. So I am both happy and excited while concerned at the same time about this.


Latest numbers for Denmark is:
Total cases: 10713
Recovered: 8805
Dead: 537
Active cases: 1371 the lowest number since the outbreak started in March.
Hospitalized: 147
Critical: 35
In respirator: 28
So compare numbers se my older post here: https://www.techpowerup.com/forums/threads/maps-for-tracking-covid-19.264697/post-4262857

 

[HTC]

Here's that chart with 13 countries infected cases i made a while back, with data up to yesterday (click for full picture):



Several comparisons can be made:

- Denmark VS South Korea as well as Portugal VS Sweden: both pairs have roughly the same number of infected cases but South Korea and Portugal have curves much more horizontal than Denmark and Sweden, respectively
- Germany and France have very similar curves but France edges out on top, therefore it's worse off than Germany, albeit slightly
- Russia and Brazil still "lead" with the worst curves of this chart, with Russia having the curve a bit worse than Brazil
- New Zealand's the REAL winner: their curve is almost like South Korea's but, because it's nearly 3 full horizontal lines less, this means they have nearly 1/8 of South Korea's cases

 

[Tatty_Two]

Here's that chart with 13 countries infected cases i made a while back, with data up to yesterday (click for full picture):

View attachment 155184

Several comparisons can be made:

- Denmark VS South Korea as well as Portugal VS Sweden: both pairs have roughly the same number of infected cases but South Korea and Portugal have curves much more horizontal than Denmark and Sweden, respectively
- Germany and France have very similar curves but France edges out on top, therefore it's worse off than Germany, albeit slightly
- Russia and Brazil still "lead" with the worst curves of this chart, with Russia having the curve a bit worse than Brazil
- New Zealand's the REAL winner: their curve is almost like South Korea's but, because it's nearly 3 full horizontal lines less, this means they have nearly 1/8 of South Korea's cases

NZ should be the real winner to be fair, they have a high quality leader in charge of a country of around 4.7 million people spread out over a land mass of 268,000 square kilometres (more than 2.5 times the size of Portugal), population and people per square kilometre are key factors of infection rates (hence the UK for example, pretty much the most populated per square kilometre in Western Europe), also, obviously the more infected you get, the likelihood of more fatalities go with it sadly.