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AMD Explains Missing RDNA 4 Announcements At CES

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Perhaps the biggest surprise at AMD's January 6 CES keynote address was the omission of the Radeon RX 9070 series desktop graphics cards, and the RDNA 4 graphics architecture. This was particularly because the CES Pre-brief slide-deck that AMD provided to press included materials about Radeon, but the actual presentation on stage lacked that content. Immediately after the event, AMD leadership, including David McAfee and Frank Azor agreed to sit down with a small group of tech journalists for a roundtable talk, and we had a seat. In this article, we will try to share what we can. The talk began with addressing the elephant in the room, about why AMD omitted Radeon-related announcements in Jack Huynh's keynote address and the company also confirmed that providing press with pre-brief Radeon info was intentional, and they knew that info wouldn't be included on the main stage.

AMD says that the 45-minute keynote address didn't provide sufficient time to properly announce the Radeon RX 9070 series and RDNA 4. The company pointed to other announcements it omitted in the keynote, such as the Ryzen Z2 line of gaming handheld chips. The company says that Radeon-related announcements, would have needed a much greater time-share in the keynote, to detail the change in the product naming (more on this later), where the RX 9070 series fit into the market, the advancements made by RDNA 4, and new technology such as FSR 4.



AMD said that the Radeon RX 9070 series could see the light of the day in Q1 2025, and that the company will do at least an online media event to launch them. This hour-long presentation will give the team a better opportunity to dive deep into the nuts and bolts of RDNA 4 and the RX 9000 series. The company wouldn't confirm the exact date on which it plans to launch these cards, but we know from the pre-brief presentation that the launch is within Q1 2025, and that all of AMD's add-in board partners have their custom design cards ready.

We then jumped into the rabbit hole of product naming, and why AMD chose to give up a gaming GPU model naming scheme that it had built over three generations of Navi, starting with the RX 5000 series, succeeded by the RX 6000, and the RX 7000. The RX 5000 series now over 5 years old, so the market has had quite a bit of exposure to this naming scheme. AMD first sought to explain why it skipped the RX 8000 series. The company said that it wanted to align the model numbering with the Ryzen 9000 series desktop processors.

In the second half of AMD's answer, the company sought to explain the change from something like the "RX 9700 XT" to the "RX 9070 XT." The rumors are true, AMD wanted to make it easier for gamers to identify competitive positioning of SKUs, by giving them a naming scheme similar to "the competition," namely NVIDIA. This way, gamers would compare the RX 9070 XT to NVIDIA's GeForce RTX 5070 or the RTX 5070 Ti; and the future RX 9060 XT with the RTX 5060 Ti or RTX 5060.

A journalist then asked what was on everyone's mind at that point—if you're doing this to train consumers, then will this naming scheme stick. The Radeon RX "Navi" family is now already at the 9000 series, and the next generation will probably have to either be the "RX 10070" or bring yet another change. To this, AMD agreed that it cannot commit to a naming scheme, it constantly assesses the market and consumer behavior, and implements whatever works.

The next question by one of the journalists sought AMD's comment on what is the decision tree that led to the development of RDNA 4. AMD responded that it wanted to seek volumes, mainly to identify key segments of the market that pushed the most volumes, and then try to win in those segments with products that delivered higher performance per dollar and efficiency. The bulk of the market is running after the 70-series and the 60-series (eg: the RTX 4070 and the RTX 4060), and so AMD could save itself a lot of product development by only focusing on winnable segments. The company does not have to prove its ability to create enthusiast-segment GPUs, that's just not where the market is at. The switch to the 70-series and 60-series naming scheme was more to make it easier to reach out to the market volume.

AMD was also asked for its reaction on the Intel Arc B580 "Battlemage," specifically on how Intel succeeded in winning praise from both the press and gamers for a well-rounded product at $250. AMD's response sounded like they are very impressed with the B580. "I think it's a testament that if you bring features and performance to a great value price-point, it will really resonate with consumers." They seemed to agree that AMD's strategy will be very similar to that of Intel—to impress upon the largest volume segments of the market with high performance/dollar products.

AMD says that it got a lot of praise as well as flack from the RDNA 3 generation, and is trying to replicate the things that brought it praise. The RX 7000 series only had a couple of home-runs, such as the RX 7800 XT and the RX 7900 GRE, and the company's effort will be to replicate the success of those products.


The attention then turned to FSR 4, and a footnote in AMD's pre-brief presentation slide which said that FSR 4 will only be available to the RX 9070 series for supported games with FSR 3.1 already integrated. AMD said that FSR 4 uses a machine-learning based algorithm to reconstruct details in its super resolution component, and that RDNA 4 provides a significant uplift in MLops over the previous generations of RDNA, and so initially FSR 4 will be available on the RX 9000 series, but the company will assess specific SKUs from previous generations that it thinks are capable of the AI acceleration performance needed for FSR 4 SR algorithm to work without imposing a prohibitive performance or latency cost. FSR 4 will be a significant improvement not just in frame-rate at a given preset, but also image quality.

We then asked AMD about its priorities in developing RDNA 4, and explain why they'd ranked something high or something else a bit low. Their priority number 1 was to focus on improving performance in areas that gamers care about the most. You should expect in this generation to see big ray tracing improvements, big MLops (AI acceleration) improvements, for things like FSR 4 and ML Super Resolution.

The second priority is that every component on the GPU is designed for efficiency, not just in terms of energy efficiency, but in terms of the things that will allow AMD to price the product competitively—the right manufacturing process, the right die-size, the right memory type. In other words, AMD is preparing for a very stiff price war against NVIDIA and potentially Intel, where it doesn't want exotic hardware design decisions to erect barriers for the marketing team.

The third and smaller priority was go-to-market. If you recall, AMD was significantly slower than NVIDIA at going to market with the Radeon RX 7000 series. The RX 7900 series arrived at a time when NVIDIA had almost concluded rolling out the RTX 40-series. AMD wants to avoid that this time around, and you should see a fairly brisk set of product launches by AMD in the RX 9000 series.


Lastly, AMD refuted performance claims about the RX 9000 series GPUs doing rounds on the Internet. "Nobody has the final driver, not even the board manufacturers, so don't believe performance claims on the Internet," AMD quipped.

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The third and smaller priority was go-to-market. If you recall, AMD was significantly slower than NVIDIA at going to market with the Radeon RX 7000 series.

It’s looking to be no different this time around. In three weeks Nvidia will have product on the shelves.

In three weeks AMD might put out a slide telling us when to expect the slide deck about the product.
 
The only way they could fumble this launch harder is if they totally screw the launch drivers. AMD frankly should have fired RTGs management years ago.
 
The only way they could fumble this launch harder is if they totally screw the launch drivers. AMD frankly should have fired RTGs management years ago.

-Yeah this JV guerilla marketing shit is no way to run a multi-billion dollar company competing with the biggest company on earth.

You have good IP, you actually have money now too. Actually effing act like it.
 
Gamers telling AMD to fire the Radeon marketing department for years
AMD: fired the marketing department
Gamers: where are all the PR stuff guys?

Anyways the lack of PR material is of no concern anyways, the products just need to be good
 
So they admit they have run themselves into a corner with that name because when the next gen launches it's going to change again, as I doubt Radeon RX 10080XT or even better Radeon RX 1080XT is the name they will be going for.
RDNA4 seems like a stop gap just to launch something and introduce FSR4 before UDNA, where they will finally be able to do what Nvidia does - Make huge chips for data center market and then whatever is left will be put into Radeons and APUs.
They are capable in the hardware department as can be seen with what a monster Instinct MI300/325X is, but they don't care to allocate TSMC wafers just to create special big RDNA cards. So I would bet that UDNA will be fully MCM design, where they can just add more GPU chiplets (2 or 4) and then compete with nvidia on enthusiast level again. Nvidia did them a favor as well with 50 series as they didn't introduce a huge difference in the hardware level, it's not like 5080 has 20 000 cores and will be 60% more performant than 4080 without DLSS.
Let's just hope that it will come sooner rather than later, because waiting for 2 years for that seems like too much, next year or end of this year would be better.
 
Jfc they need to pick a lane with naming and stick with it.

NVIDIA:
GT(X)/RTX 2x0, 3x0, 4x0, 5x0, 6x0, 7x0, 9x0, 10x0, 20x0, 30x0, 40x0, 50x0

AMD:
HD 2xy0-7xy0, R5/7/9 2x0(X), R/5/7/9 3x0(X) + Fury, RX 4x0, RX 5x0, Radeon VII, RX 5xy0 (XT), RX 6xy0 (none/XT/XTX), RX 7xy0 (none/XT/XTX), RX 90x0 (none/XT)

This is not the product stack of a marketing team that knows what the hell it's doing and it's exhausting watching them fumble this crap every generation.
 
Oh my fcking god. What a mess. 9070XT is already DOA
 
Lastly, AMD refuted performance claims about the RX 9000 series GPUs doing rounds on the Internet. "Nobody has the final driver, not even the board manufacturers, so don't believe performance claims on the Internet," AMD quipped.
Is that supposed to be a good thing that nobody involved in launch has final driver? From what they are saying the current one does not have expected performance. They are saying Q1 so there really isn't that much time to fix things.
 
AMD AI chips are available but almost nobody wants it. The problem it's not the hardware, it's the absence of CUDA. No CUDA, no party.

Considering that nvidia is basically sold out for 2025 I don't think they have problems with selling Instinct cards. Sure, nvidia is miles and miles ahead in sales thanks to CUDA, that's why they are focusing on ROCm and even annoucing that they are a software company now. They are nowhere near nvidia when it comes to that market, but well they have to start somewhere.
 
I wish someone could explain me why RDNA 3 cards won't get FSR 4, or at least some lesser version e.g. FSR 3.9, aided by some AI features.
 
So they admit they have run themselves into a corner with that name because when the next gen launches it's going to change again, as I doubt Radeon RX 10080XT or even better Radeon RX 1080XT is the name they will be going for.
True... that's probably the first naming scheme in the PC world that starts with a nine. Is the counting supposed to continue in hexadecimal?
 
AMD said that FSR 4 uses a machine-learning based algorithm to reconstruct details in its super resolution component, and that RDNA 4 provides a significant uplift in MLops over the previous generations of RDNA
According to Digital Foundry, NV switched from a CNN based model to a transformer based model in DLSS 4 to improve image quality. What is FSR 4 using? (not saying a CNN/similar based model can't achieve something that only a transformer based model can)
 
The 45 minute excuse seems stupid, Huang only spent 1.5 hours on stage and it wasn't his longest presentation.
 
True... that's probably the first naming scheme in the PC world that starts with a nine. Is the counting supposed to continue in hexadecimal?
A070 to F070 would sound cool, to be honest. Or at least novel :D
 
Gamers telling AMD to fire the Radeon marketing department for years
AMD: fired the marketing department
Gamers: where are all the PR stuff guys?
When everyone said "fire the marketing department" the assumption was that they'd replace the fired staff with competent ones, not just shut down the department entirely and hand the job over to the part-time intern 24 hours before CES.
 
AMD says that the 45-minute keynote address didn't provide sufficient time to properly announce the Radeon RX 9070 series and RDNA 4

Yes, I totally buy that. It's the most plausible explanation. /s
 
AMD, give us a Radeon RX 9070 (XT) 32GB VRAM clamshell version, so we can better inference our favorite LLM locally. The lower memory bandwidth of 624 GB/s, due to a 256-bit memory interface and GDDR6, which is less than a GeForce 5090's 1792 GB/s is still fine.
 
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