Tuesday, December 3rd 2013

"Vishera" End Of The Line for AMD FX CPUs: Roadmap

We'd feared something like this would happen for some time now, but leaked AMD product roadmaps confirmed it that AMD FX "Vishera" is the last line of CPUs from AMD. The company will only focus on APUs from here onward, and at the very most, one could expect CPU core counts to go up from their current quad-core stale-meat since A-series "Llano," which will continue into the 2014 A-Series "Kaveri," too.

The alleged AMD roadmap slide leaked to the web by ProHardver.hu points out that socket AM3+ "Vishera" will exist on AMD's product stack for as far as AMD's eye can see - looking deep into even 2015. Unless AMD is planning on hanging its towel with AM3+, it wouldn't mark its roadmap slide out in this way. 2015 will see the introduction of "Carrizo," an APU that succeeds "Kaveri," which will be based on future-generation "Excavator" CPU micro-architecture, and a future-generation GPU architecture, along with full HSA programming model implementation. "Kabini" will have its spell running into mid-2014, at which point "Beema" will succeed it.
Unless AMD is planning on 6-core, and 8-core APUs with "Carrizo," (we know that "Kaveri" is neither,) the roadmap reveals that AMD has given up on making processors that are pricier than $150. The company could focus its client products division onto APUs and GPUs, while multi-core processors could be kept alive by the enterprise products division under the Opteron banner, although we've not seen roadmaps to back that theory.
Sources: ProHardver.hu, SweClockers
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133 Comments on "Vishera" End Of The Line for AMD FX CPUs: Roadmap

#101
qubit
Overclocked quantum bit
I'm not really sure what you're arguing about? I was just musing dude.
Posted on Reply
#102
HumanSmoke
qubitI'm not really sure what you're arguing about? I was just musing dude.
Ah, okay. For musing, 20GHz seemed quite conservative. How about 1024 cores @ 1THz with a TDP of 5 watts and an MSRP of $9.99 ?
Posted on Reply
#103
qubit
Overclocked quantum bit
2THz :p
Posted on Reply
#104
Steevo
Soon we will be limited by the speed of electricity through the semiconductor traces and wire. Then we are on to optical multiplier processors or to emi processors. Then possibly to quantum processors or quantum bit check emi processors.
Posted on Reply
#105
HumanSmoke
SteevoSoon we will be limited by the speed of electricity through the semiconductor traces and wire. Then we are on to optical multiplier processors or to emi processors. Then possibly to quantum processors or quantum bit check emi processors.
I hope you get due recognition when AMD incorporate all this into their 2014-15 roadmap PPS next month ;)

/Waits for WCCF to repackage this as front page article
Posted on Reply
#106
TheoneandonlyMrK
HumanSmokeI hope you get due recognition when AMD incorporate all this into their 2014-15 roadmap PPS next month ;)

/Waits for WCCF to repackage this as front page article
yeah using old style switch ,logic on graphene they could have 20Ghz or more in the bag without tickleing quantum's tum
Posted on Reply
#107
BiggieShady
SteevoSoon we will be limited by the speed of electricity through the semiconductor traces and wire.
Speed of electricity is actually speed of light (the one we are always limited by) - interestingly enough, movement and speed of electrons in (semi)conductor has nothing to do with this - it's the disturbance in the electromagnetic field that travels. Use the force.
Posted on Reply
#108
Ravenas
"AMD will continue to supply AM3+ and AMD FX processors for the foreseeable future, as per AMD's official roadmap update at APU'13 [above]. Recently, AMD launched the FX-9000 series, AMD's fastest desktop processor to date. As AMD's business continues to evolve, AMD will focus on the areas of growth including support for the desktop PC enthusiast leveraging AMD's world-class processor design IP, including heterogeneous compute. AMD's FX branded products will continue to evolve and we look forward to sharing those updates in the future," said James Prior, an AMD manager of APU/CPU product reviews, in a conversation with Gamer’s Nexus web-site.
The roadmap supplied by the OP seems like a stretch of the imagination. FX processors are a core business of AMD.
Posted on Reply
#109
Steevo
BiggieShadySpeed of electricity is actually speed of light (the one we are always limited by) - interestingly enough, movement and speed of electrons in (semi)conductor has nothing to do with this - it's the disturbance in the electromagnetic field that travels. Use the force.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_of_electricity

Well understood years ago. But a trace operating at 70% of the speed of light.

209 854 721 m / s

At 5Ghz switching rate means it can only travel.

0.0419709442 m / s

and that is 1.6524 inch per second, so this is the longest any trace can be assuming everything works perfectly, and you have to be able to read and write data out of caches at this incredible rate too unless you want a significantly higher percentage of time in wait states.......that causes timing issues at speed too.

So we are getting close to how fast we can make processors switch unless they start learning about capacitive roll off for every switch and transistor, and the logic to do that is cost prohibitive. Intel was the first to find this theoretical limit when trying to reach the absurd speeds they thought the P4 possible, they then wrote papers on it and it as well as the poor performance and other issues were the reason they moved to a shorter pipeline and higher IPC instead of higher speed. A horse AMD now seems stuck beating aimlessly.
Posted on Reply
#110
xorbe
Steevoand that is 1.6524 inch per second
Close, 1.6525 inches per clock cycle. Less when you consider the propagation through transistors.
Posted on Reply
#111
TheHunter
All they need is make those APUs 8core and all will be good.

I see this newest is already a steamroller :D
Posted on Reply
#112
NeoXF
FX APUs anyone? (As in beyond "A10s").
Posted on Reply
#113
eidairaman1
The Exiled Airman
NeoXFFX APUs anyone? (As in beyond "A10s").
the 8 core apus will probably be A10s, A8s will be Hex Cores and A6s will be Quads and A4s will be duals.

it would only make sense if they lined them up according to the number- so A10 are ten core, etc etc
Posted on Reply
#114
TRWOV
I suppose 6 core APUs are a strong posibility once AMD moves to 28/22nm.
Posted on Reply
#115
NeoXF
What I meant was, APUs with more cores for software/workloads that just won't scale well with HSA, L3 and maybe eDRAM (L4?) as well and higher TDPs, since I imagine this won't probably happen on 28nm, 20nm is a big contender, especially since AMD already announced it's TDPs for the stock family of APUs will top out at 65W. And I don't know about you guys, but 95-100W sounds about right to me, hell, looking at Intel, 130-150W for a HPC targeted platform sounds just about right.

6M/12C Excavator w/ L3, triple/quad DDR4 IMC and 16 PI GCN compute units @ 20nm @ 125W TDP please? :D

In any case I don't think AMD will release a 6-core Kaveri anytime soon, unless they change up the roadmap (wouldn't make sense w/ 20nm 65W Carizzo replacing 28nm 95W Kaveri I guess). But I think we can expect a Kaveri clock refresh later next year tho.
Posted on Reply
#116
TheoneandonlyMrK
Wheres Bta , guy needs a head sort.

AMD retorted to this tale of woe not long after it was released stating.

FX not dead and not being sidelined or forgotten and will progress into the future.

AM3+ wasnt mentioned positively or neg but likely wont get beyond 2014

and that the slide in question is Bs ,not Amd's

also its one year view doesnt state what comes after FX because they are not discussing that at this time, not that when the chart ends so does FX thats just not a fact.



8 core APU's or 6 even wont arrive until TSV 3d chips become easy(and cheap) to make(2015-16) and you can bank that opinion as fact. until then server scrap parts will make up future FX chips, also bankable and imho before 2015 am3+ WILL see steamroller cores(im banking this one though it is just my opinion based on future server upgrade options for the big data crew)
Posted on Reply
#117
TRWOV
theoneandonlymrkWheres Bta , guy needs a head sort.

AMD retorted to this tale of woe not long after it was released stating.

FX not dead and not being sidelined or forgotten and will progress into the future.

AM3+ wasnt mentioned positively or neg but likely wont get beyond 2014

and that the slide in question is Bs ,not Amd's

also its one year view doesnt state what comes after FX because they are not discussing that at this time, not that when the chart ends so does FX thats just not a fact.
Huh? Nobody said the FX line is dead, just that Vishera is the last core developed for AM3+. In fact AMD's retort just confirmed it: AM3+ wont get Steamroller, it won't even get a 28nm refresh. :confused:

Now what Bt should do is change the title: didn't know this many people were dialexic, lots are reading "End of the Line" as "End of Life". :banghead:
Posted on Reply
#118
TheoneandonlyMrK
many on here are , thats ahh feckit


"AMD will continue to supply AM3+ and AMD FX processors for the foreseeable future, as per AMD's official roadmap update at APU'13"



no end point or date was given for FX or AM3+



just because a chart ends does not mean anything the next chart will dictate whats next or how long am3+ is here........................

no metion of vischera's reign or any future plans at all were mentioned in fact the only vischera comment was that they had just brought out the fx9xxx's

how would it be wise to talk up what's next while you are still clearing stock of what's here??
Posted on Reply
#119
xenocide
theoneandonlymrk"AMD will continue to supply AM3+ and AMD FX processors for the foreseeable future, as per AMD's official roadmap update at APU'13"
There's a huge difference between supply and support. Sure, they will continue to manufacture and sell AM3+ parts, but will they develop a new CPU to put in there? No. The big concern is AMD either consolidating the FM2+ socket or developing a whole new socket for FX-series CPU's. People have grown very accustomed to AMD continually supporting upgrade pathes, removing them might piss some folks off.
Posted on Reply
#120
NeoXF
xenocideThere's a huge difference between supply and support. Sure, they will continue to manufacture and sell AM3+ parts, but will they develop a new CPU to put in there? No. The big concern is AMD either consolidating the FM2+ socket or developing a whole new socket for FX-series CPU's. People have grown very accustomed to AMD continually supporting upgrade pathes, removing them might piss some folks off.
Well, FM2+ is here to stay untill mid-2015 at least, when I predict AMD will have to update it's APU platform for the DDR4 version of Carizzo.

It's also the best time when I think AMD should make a real succesor to 990FX and AM3+, since DDR4 will be there for awhile. Sure, once can speculate SATA-Express, PCI-Express 4.0, maybe support for more than 2 64bit buses and so on.
Edit: So they might as well merge the two.
Posted on Reply
#121
micropage7
TRWOVI suppose 6 core APUs are a strong posibility once AMD moves to 28/22nm.
6 cores with better performance per watt ratio
Posted on Reply
#122
itsakjt
I want a Phenom III X8 with all new advanced instruction sets, high clock speeds and an awesome IMC. :)
Posted on Reply
#123
TheoneandonlyMrK
itsakjtI want a Phenom III X8 with all new advanced instruction sets, high clock speeds and an awesome IMC. :)
hows about you have a think because many went from a phenom II to an FX as i did and i can resolutely say your suggestion is daft ,Fx easily bests any phenom and in scenarios that DO use all supplied cores ie folding@home crunching some games(bf3-4 for eg)etc the FX chips keep up with intels similar easily, i suppose Amd could just call it a phenom 3 to please you though that would'nt make sense


and micropage etc Amd would wisely use that extra space for MOOOAR shaders not two more x86 cores;) maybe multi core will truley be multi (type) core in this future though too.
Posted on Reply
#124
enkidu_WM
You know one thing I have to say is that AMD has been given a ish end of the stick. It has really been the true innovator all along, and each processor has been capable of greater performance gains over their Intel counterparts, it is just an issue in which code is processed. Intel cannot truly attain independent processing with its cores relying heavily on 4 cores with one process and virtualizing it all. AMD is able to perform in a manner befitting individual cores, however programs send information in a format that benefits Intel. 4 people can do one thing faster but 4 people can do four things individually thereby getting more done.
Posted on Reply
#125
karakarga
AMD 990FX chipset is PCI Express 2.0 compliant. Except Asus Sabertooth 990FX/Gen3 R2.0 mainboard, there is no PCI Express 3.0 mainboard by AMD!

Intel is planning to build new PCI Express 4.0 compliant mainboards at the last quarter of 2015 this year.

If AMD do not wish/need to ready a PCI Express 3.0 mainboard for high segment, this means that, they will not ready any PCI Express 4.0 chipset nor mainboard. So this means, if AMD can not jump to a lower level branch, they can not possibly reach to a higher level.

AMD is dying. Again, if they can not reach enthusiasts, they can not earn much money. Low level APU's are not much profitable. This means, they are close to high profit marge.

Sooner or later, they will close the shop! Their graphics card serie is not so good. This 2014 summer and the earlier 2013 summer, AMD did not managed to release a new graphics driver for 3-4 months. nVidia released 2 or more at the summer period for gamers.

If you have lately bought an AMD graphics card, all summer long in 2 years, you couldn't manage to load a new driver for your graphics card, which is a bad thing!

AMD graphics cards are working louder, compared with same level nVidia counterpart.

Shortly, AMD is no longer a good choice at all....
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