Insured by what? A bank in essence that printed the money and can do nothing more than print more sheets of iou's?
I don't know what
@Jetster meant, but it might have been deposit insurance. In US this is done by FDIC, who covers deposits up to $250k.
All Fiat Currency is based on perception just like crypto.
By all means, no. Fiat currencies have a very well defined intrinsic value. And it's fairly easy to analyze as well. The base is always the state of economy and the interest rates - they define how much you can earn by holding that currency. Then you have banks (mostly central, occasionally commercial) that try to keep the price in some range. Above that there is some known correlation with stocks and commodities.
So having some data makes it possible to understand the historical price and - with decent precision - forecast the future development.
With Bitcoin... you don't know much. Not only is it extremely hard to forecast (apart from the fact that in long horizon it'll either totally collapse or grow further), but we also struggle to understand the past as well. Like the 30-50% drop we had yesterday - there is still no consensus on why it happened.
Nearly all tech stocks and many others are based off perception. Do you really think Facebook is worth the perceived value? Twitter? What hard assets do they truely have to justify the price?
Companies are not evaluated based on assets, but based on cashflows.
As for Twitter - I don't know. I've never analyzed their stock, I don't know much about the company, I don't tweet, I don't read tweets. As Buffet once said: "
Never invest in a business you can't understand". I live by this rule (and few other of his as well).
As for Facebook - current price is in line with their financial situation. Moreover, it's been growing beautifully for the last 5 years. The only issue I have with them is the lack of dividend - the reason why I haven't invested yet. But they're a young company, so this is understandable. Many IT-companies start paying after as much as 20-30 years.
Maybe educate us with you vast knowledge of finance and explain how adding USD to crypto isn't taking away USD that I would normally invest in the stock market or put in a bank?
This is feasible.
To understand this, you only have to answer one simple question.
Before cryptocurrencies became such a hit, there was a money supply of USD worth
X. In other words, we had
X US dollars to use (some of it printed, some only virtual).
A new thing appears in the world called cryptocurrencies - they're worth $600 billion.
What is the total sum of USD afterwards?