Friday, December 6th 2019

TSMC on Track to Deliver 3 nm in 2022

TSMC is delivering record results day after day, with a 5 nm manufacturing process starting High Volume Manufacturing (HVM) in Q2 next year, 7 nm process getting plenty of orders and the fact that TSMC just became the biggest company publicly trading in Asia. Continuing with the goal to match or even beat the famous Moore's Law, TSMC is already planning for future 3 nm node manufacturing, promised to start HVM as soon as 2022 arrives, according to JK Wang, TSMC's senior vice president of fab operations. Delivering 3 nm a whole year before originally planned in 2023, TSMC is working hard, with fab construction work doing quite well, judging by all the news that the company is releasing recently.

We can hope to see the first wave of products built using 3 nm manufacturing process sometime around end of year 2022, when the holiday season arrives. Usual customers like Apple and HiSilicon will surely utilize the new node and deliver their smartphones with 3 nm processors inside as soon as the process is ready for HVM.
Source: DigiTimes
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71 Comments on TSMC on Track to Deliver 3 nm in 2022

#26
InVasMani
lynx29the occasional fire, made me laugh. that flood in Thailand that hurt the Hard Drive market for a solid 3-5 years... hope it doesn't happen again
Let's just blame that one on global warming too along with Noah's Ark that sh*t was defiantly caused by global warming according to climate scientists with huge government backed grant money.
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#27
ppn
londisteThing with that is, there are multiple processes in the 7nm family. A low-power process that usually gets used for SoCs and whatnot that actually clocks in close to or at that 90 Mtr/mm^2 and a high performance variation that gets half of the density but clocks a lot higher..
Yes 91 is for low power and 65 high performance. But still 41 found in 5700XT is unexpectedly low. What does it mean for the future, that we get only 60% improvement 14 to 7nm. and now 3nm another 60%, and thats it.
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#28
Space Lynx
Astronaut
InVasManiLet's just blame that one on global warming too along with Noah's Ark that sh*t was defiantly caused by global warming according to climate scientists with huge government backed grant money.
no one is blaming anything... we simply said something that happened and caused prices of hard drives to go up... so.... ok...
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#29
TheGuruStud
Better scrap 7nm, Intel, and go straight to 5 lol
medi01I recall GloFo was right on track or better with 7nm, right up to the point when it wasn't.

Let's see how 5nm rolls out in 2021.
Glofo 7nm is fine. They're broke and can't upgrade tooling with the smaller profits it would bring for them. The decision was to cut their losses.
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#30
qcmadness
ppnYes 91 is for low power and 65 high performance. But still 41 found in 5700XT is unexpectedly low. What does it mean for the future, that we get only 60% improvement 14 to 7nm. and now 3nm another 60%, and thats it.
Because memory controller cannot be scaled
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#31
Tartaros
lynx29the occasional fire, made me laugh. that flood in Thailand that hurt the Hard Drive market for a solid 3-5 years... hope it doesn't happen again
But then we won't have any other thread with us making a chain of jokes with "because x happened, the nand price went up n quantity". That shit was good.
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#32
bug
TheGuruStudBetter scrap 7nm, Intel, and go straight to 5 lol



Glofo 7nm is fine. They're broke and can't upgrade tooling with the smaller profits it would bring for them. The decision was to cut their losses.
What do you mean "small profits"? 7 nm still carries a high-enough price premium over 1X nm. There's a ton of mobile SoCs out there that would love to be made using 7 nm.
Posted on Reply
#33
TheGuruStud
bugWhat do you mean "small profits"? 7 nm still carries a high-enough price premium over 1X nm. There's a ton of mobile SoCs out there that would love to be made using 7 nm.
It's more expensive to produce, yields will be far less than their 14nm for a quite a while and they were pretty far behind tsmc time-wise. Also, BROKE. So, who is going to fill all those orders with it being 1 yr behind tsmc and make enough money to then move to 5nm immediately? They couldn't.

Intel is going to find out the same way in a few years.
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#34
Vayra86
InVasManiLet's just blame that one on global warming too along with Noah's Ark that sh*t was defiantly caused by global warming according to climate scientists with huge government backed grant money.
Is there something lost in translation here or did my comments just go way over your head? Lol
Posted on Reply
#35
WikiFM
qcmadnessBecause memory controller cannot be scaled
By AMD. Intel and all the other companies sub 12nm mobile SoCs have scaled down.
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#36
semantics
TheGuruStudBetter scrap 7nm, Intel, and go straight to 5 lol



Glofo 7nm is fine. They're broke and can't upgrade tooling with the smaller profits it would bring for them. The decision was to cut their losses.
With how intel names things intel's 5nm node would probably mean that it's similar to tsmc's 3nm process. If anything intel can just change how they name things to fit more closely with glo flo/tsmc and samsung and people will claim they've made huge progress.
Posted on Reply
#37
InVasMani
Vayra86Is there something lost in translation here or did my comments just go way over your head? Lol
Too much space dust couldn't quite understand the scarcasm over the dark web of the internet lots of alien pron tentacles.
Posted on Reply
#38
WikiFM
TSMC promised 2x higher logic density from 16nm to 10nm and 1.6x from 10nm to 7nm. If we use Apple as example we see kind of fulfillment.
A1016nm3.3B125 mm226.4 Mt/mm2Density
A1110nm4.3B87.6mm249.1 Mt/mm21.86x
A127nm6.9B83.3mm282.8 Mt/mm21.67x

But from 7nm to 6nm just 1.18x, even if TSMC keeps releasing new nodes the improvement between one and the next is every time lesser.
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#39
bug
Vayra86Is there something lost in translation here or did my comments just go way over your head? Lol
Neah, that never happens on Internet forums :roll:
Posted on Reply
#40
InVasMani
bugNeah, that never happens on Internet forums :roll:
I was just being sarcastic people just missed it entirely. That never happens on forums.
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#41
bug
InVasManiI was just being sarcastic people just missed it entirely. That never happens on forums.
I would know, I also have a thing for sarcasm, too and I know how poorly that conveys over the Internet ;)
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#42
InVasMani
It can't be helped hipsters don't understand sarcasm.
Posted on Reply
#43
Vayra86
InVasManiIt can't be helped hipsters don't understand sarcasm.
But... you already responded to sarcasm, with a touch of cynism. Re reading it I gotcha now :D On first glance it looked like you were actually serious... go figure, must be a sign of the times :toast:

Hipsters. Definitely *performs Fortnite dance*

(/s) ;)
Posted on Reply
#44
ppn
WikiFMTSMC promised 2x higher logic density from 16nm to 10nm and 1.6x from 10nm to 7nm. If we use Apple as example we see kind of fulfillment.
A1016nm3.3B125 mm226.4 Mt/mm2Density
A1110nm4.3B87.6mm249.1 Mt/mm21.86x
A127nm6.9B83.3mm282.8 Mt/mm21.67x

But from 7nm to 6nm just 1.18x, even if TSMC keeps releasing new nodes the improvement between one and the next is every time lesser.
Yeah but 7nm to 5nm is 1,88, and 6 to 5 1,59x, 5 to 3 - 1,50x. Polaris 24,6 Mtr on 16nm and navi 41,4 Mtr on 7nm scaled alot worse than a10 - 26,4 Mtr and a12 82,8 Mtr. So whatever is possible for a13 cuts in half 171 for navi successor, or around 80. Gpus will not only get 3nm 1 year later but will provide 5nm densities.
Posted on Reply
#45
WikiFM
ppnYeah but 7nm to 5nm is 1,88, and 6 to 5 1,59x, 5 to 3 - 1,50x. Polaris 24,6 Mtr on 16nm and navi 41,4 Mtr on 7nm scaled alot worse than a10 - 26,4 Mtr and a12 82,8 Mtr. So whatever is possible for a13 cuts in half 171 for navi successor, or around 80. Gpus will not only get 3nm 1 year later but will provide 5nm densities.
First, 5nm and 3nm haven't been released yet so final products metrics could vary a lot. Second, Polaris was on 14nm by GloFo. Third, A13 still uses 7nm as A12. We should wait and see how Nvidia does with Samsung's 7nm, usually they tend to have cleaner designs.
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#46
renz496
Super XPTSMC already proven themselves with 7nm. I am sure they will successfully come out with 5nm and 3nm all in time for future RDNA & ZEN releases.
just because they were successful on one node then the next will also be fine. we have seen this for years now when it comes to TSMC.
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#47
bug
renz496just because they were successful on one node then the next will also be fine. we have seen this for years now when it comes to TSMC.
Plus, there's this thing where there's no one team responsible for all nodes. Whoever worked on 7nm will not be working on 5nm, but on 3nm instead. 5nm is already being worked on by the team that did 14nm. That's how things are usually set up in this industry.
Somewhat unrelated, but it's also what will most likely make weird for Intel, when their 7nm node will be ready shortly after they figure out 10nm.

And it's going to be a blast about 5 years from now when everybody hits the physical limits of Si and we all get stuck on 2 or 3nm, while fabs shrink various parts of the transistor. If you think 14nm+++++ was embarrassing, just wait for 3nm++++++++++++++ :D
Posted on Reply
#48
Minus Infinity
HugsNotDrugsA mere 3nm is around the size of a single molecule.

The end-of-the-line for silicon is near.
I can recall research papers from the late 90’s early 2000’s talking about how quantum effects were going to cause huge issues such as current leakage due to electron quantum tunneling between line traces etc. They were saying things would be bad from 10nm. It’s amazing to see us now talking about 3nm (although are the line traces actually 3nm) and apparently they have overcome all the issues. I know earlier on hi-K dielectrics helped a lot but I haven’t kept up with the tech and would love to know how they are getting 3nm to work and get high yields and mitigate huge quantum effects.

We can’t go much smaller AFAIK at least with silicon, but it’s lasted longer than anticipated. What’s on the horizon and how do you overcome hard quantum limits. The process can’t get arbitrarily small, atoms are about 0.1nm for the the simplest ones. Imagine line traces so small only a single electron at a time can pass, but they could never be made that small.
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#49
RealNeil
bugIt's the Pacific Rim, why rule out earthquakes?
The Ring Of Fire.

Also, Tencent called and said that Fiftycent is stealing their lunch ever day at school.
Posted on Reply
#50
InVasMani
bugPlus, there's this thing where there's no one team responsible for all nodes. Whoever worked on 7nm will not be working on 5nm, but on 3nm instead. 5nm is already being worked on by the team that did 14nm. That's how things are usually set up in this industry.
Somewhat unrelated, but it's also what will most likely make weird for Intel, when their 7nm node will be ready shortly after they figure out 10nm.

And it's going to be a blast about 5 years from now when everybody hits the physical limits of Si and we all get stuck on 2 or 3nm, while fabs shrink various parts of the transistor. If you think 14nm+++++ was embarrassing, just wait for 3nm++++++++++++++ :D
Yeah should be interesting road forward with silicone nearing it's limits. Still so much tech innovation going forward I'm not worried about it. Even with no die shrink nodes left there is still heaps of tech innovation to exploit well into the future for quite some time.
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