Tuesday, July 14th 2026

Intel Shifts Majority of "Nova Lake" Production In-House Amid Yield Improvements

Intel's upcoming "Nova Lake-S" generation of processors is on the horizon, and the company is already making preliminary manufacturing decisions before entering high-volume production. According to a research note from investment bank KeyBanc Capital Markets, Intel initially planned to outsource the main compute tile production for "Nova Lake" to TSMC, utilizing its 2 nm N2 node. The majority of the production, about 60-70%, was to be handled by TSMC, with the remainder produced in-house by Intel Foundry on the 18A node. This meant Intel would dual-source production for its next-generation chip. However, the latest supply chain information suggests that the company now intends to bring the majority of "Nova Lake" compute tile production in-house, with about 80-90% of the tiles being manufactured by Intel Foundry.

This shift comes as Intel's 18A node yields have improved to levels that are finally reliable enough to avoid any product delays, while the company remains fully satisfied with the yield rate and the number of dies that go to waste. Intel has reportedly resolved all yield issues it experienced with its 18A node over the past few months. Our earlier report indicated that the company has addressed these yield issues, making high-volume production of its latest node sustainable from both a manufacturing yield and economic standpoint. For a mature node like 18A, defect rates are now low, around D0=0.1 or D0=0.2, and it is likely that Intel has achieved the lower end of that spectrum due to node advancements and months of high-volume production with "Panther Lake."
The company currently has a manufacturing capacity of about 30,000 wafers per month for the 18A node, spread across two sites: Fab 52 in Phoenix, Arizona, and another in Hillsboro, Oregon. This capacity is currently sufficient for Intel's internal production, such as the "Panther Lake" processors, but additional capacity will be needed for other internal products like "Nova Lake," which is reportedly months away from its consumer launch.
Source: Alex Intel on X
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34 Comments on Intel Shifts Majority of "Nova Lake" Production In-House Amid Yield Improvements

#1
Athena
According to a research note from investment bank KeyBanc Capital Markets, Intel initially planned to outsource the main compute tile production for "Nova Lake" to TSMC, utilizing its 2 nm N2 node. The majority of the production, about 60-70%, was to be handled by TSMC, with the remainder produced in-house by Intel Foundry on the 18A node. This meant Intel would dual-source production for its next-generation chip. However, the latest supply chain information suggests that the company now intends to bring the majority of "Nova Lake" compute tile production in-house, with about 80-90% of the tiles being manufactured by Intel Foundry.
How would that work exactly?
AFAIK, they had to sign long-term contracts with TSMC, in order to secure FAB space, since it's in such high demand, and you can bet there is a huge penalty if they break the contract in order to use their own fab...
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#2
Mr. Perfect
AthenaHow would that work exactly?
AFAIK, they had to sign long-term contracts with TSMC, in order to secure FAB space, since it's in such high demand, and you can bet there is a huge penalty if they break the contract in order to use their own fab...
I expect that TSMC doesn't particularly care what gets fabbed on the wafers, as long as they get processed. Intel can repurpose the Nova Lake wafers to be GPUs or something that still requires TSMC's node.
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#3
AleksandarK
News Editor
AthenaHow would that work exactly?
AFAIK, they had to sign long-term contracts with TSMC, in order to secure FAB space, since it's in such high demand, and you can bet there is a huge penalty if they break the contract in order to use their own fab...
You pay for x wafers per month, you don't have to use them at all... or you can just manufacture another product. TSMC gets paid anyways, it is Intel who has to deal with the balance of everything.
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#4
jallenlabs
Heck yeah! Were back baby!


and i am wearing flame retarded suit atm, so feel free. :)
then tell me AMD is not the same.
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#5
Darmok N Jalad
AthenaHow would that work exactly?
AFAIK, they had to sign long-term contracts with TSMC, in order to secure FAB space, since it's in such high demand, and you can bet there is a huge penalty if they break the contract in order to use their own fab...
With how tight production is right now, they can probably sell the freed up space at a premium.
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#6
XeonsNOpterons
This sounds pretty great! 18A should be more performant than N2, though somewhat less dense, so we shall see a how this pans out. Maybe it will be Nova Lake that actually clocks higher, though if this rumor is true, I doubt they only recently switched nodes. You need to do a new full set of tests to refine voltage frequency curves for all your chips, which is time intensive.

But overall, if this is true, it is very good as it means more competition also on nodes.
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#7
kondamin
good for intel, i hope they keep it up with the following nodes.
now have tsmc make full reticle arc gpu's keep them on site until vram prices are normal again after the collapse of western civilisation.
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#8
AntiX3DGlazer
Intel was already planning to put 60-70% of NVL on its own nodes. AFAIK current leaks state that every tile except for the compute tiles and the 12 xe3P tile for X-series laptops will be on internal process nodes. Remember that compue tiles, while being one of the largest tiles on the package, is not always the majority of the silicon that is put onto the package. Thus, "60-70%" of tiles being from Intel Fondry is plausible given that the SoC and GPU are already on Intel for the vast majority of SKUs.
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#9
Bobaganoosh
I hope they actually use the allotment they paid for to make consumer GPU chips. Will they? Probably not. I would assume the most likely scenario is some server xeon chips or something, but I can hope, dammit.
AntiX3DGlazerIntel was already planning to put 60-70% of NVL on its own nodes. AFAIK current leaks state that every tile except for the compute tiles and the 12 xe3P tile for X-series laptops will be on internal process nodes. Remember that compue tiles, while being one of the largest tiles on the package, is not always the majority of the silicon that is put onto the package. Thus, "60-70%" of tiles being from Intel Fondry is plausible given that the SoC and GPU are already on Intel for the vast majority of SKUs.
A lot of the other tiles are often made with older process nodes anyway that don't require the newest/smallest node possible. I would think they would use whatever is the cheapest for those tiles, which would surprise me if it wasn't an older Intel node (as they wouldn't have to pay someone else for it). That would definitely make me think that if they outsourced anything, it would be the most complex tile and only because they had no other choice from a yield/cost/performance-target perspective.
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#11
Darmok N Jalad
BobaganooshI hope they actually use the allotment they paid for to make consumer GPU chips. Will they? Probably not. I would assume the most likely scenario is some server xeon chips or something, but I can hope, dammit.
They’d have to have something decent in the wings, and there hasn’t been much indication of that in the works. Maybe they make more Battlemage Pro cards, but that won’t do us much good.
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#12
Eliad Buchnik
AntiX3DGlazerIntel was already planning to put 60-70% of NVL on its own nodes. AFAIK current leaks state that every tile except for the compute tiles and the 12 xe3P tile for X-series laptops will be on internal process nodes. Remember that compue tiles, while being one of the largest tiles on the package, is not always the majority of the silicon that is put onto the package. Thus, "60-70%" of tiles being from Intel Fondry is plausible given that the SoC and GPU are already on Intel for the vast majority of SKUs.
Compute tiles was planned to split between TSMC for higher end tiles and internal for lower end from what I recall (there are at least 2 versions for compute tile). It could be they moved all compute tiles to internal leaving the 12 Xe3P tile for TSMC (lower end 4 Xe3P is already made on intel 3), and maybe IO tile as well.
BobaganooshI hope they actually use the allotment they paid for to make consumer GPU chips. Will they? Probably not. I would assume the most likely scenario is some server xeon chips or something, but I can hope, dammit.
If rumors are correct that discrete Celestial is canned, they probably won't allocate it for consumer GPUs, as currently they don't make sense economically.
BobaganooshA lot of the other tiles are often made with older process nodes anyway that don't require the newest/smallest node possible. I would think they would use whatever is the cheapest for those tiles, which would surprise me if it wasn't an older Intel node (as they wouldn't have to pay someone else for it). That would definitely make me think that if they outsourced anything, it would be the most complex tile and only because they had no other choice from a yield/cost/performance-target perspective.
Currently they use TSMC N6 for Platform controller tile (basically IO tile) for panther lake. No idea if they will keep using TSMC for that tile in nova lake, but there could be some reasons why they chose to use TSMC for that tile.
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#13
Tek-Check
AthenaHow would that work exactly?
AFAIK, they had to sign long-term contracts with TSMC, in order to secure FAB space, since it's in such high demand, and you can bet there is a huge penalty if they break the contract in order to use their own fab...
Exactly. They must have paid for N2 and other production lines, at least for several initial batches. They can't just pull out. It does not work like that. They could pull out more easily from further IO die, HUB die and iGPU if those were outsourced initially. But compute tile too? I don't believe this for a second, until I see it.
Mr. PerfectI expect that TSMC doesn't particularly care what gets fabbed on the wafers, as long as they get processed. Intel can repurpose the Nova Lake wafers to be GPUs or something that still requires TSMC's node.
It does not work like that. Silicon fabrication process is not a supermarket type of business. Taped out chip designs and contracts are finalised and signed many months in advance to prepare lithography etching patterns and parts on machines. Also, we don't know how many production batches Intel has signed with TSMC. They may not be able to withdraw from initial batches, as it is too close to call, but may opt out from more distant in future batches. It's a complex system of booking production lines for each company for several weeks to a few months.
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#14
Sol_Badguy
Hmm I don't like it. 👎

If indeed Nova Lake desktop would use two types of compute tiles, one made by TSMC and one made by Intel, then the inevitable differences between them would create two market segments among enthusiasts at least, so basically a minority of users but not negligible.

Because those differences would make the CPUs desirable for differents aspects at which each excels at compared to the other.
Maybe one is a better air OCer the other better on LN2, I don't know shit like that.
So stuff beyond stock conditions where both CPUs would perform the same.

Like right now how some RDNA4 buyers are hunting specifically for Samsung memory equipped cards.

So this definitely changes the way I would approach upgrading to Nova Lake. If it would force me to hunt for a specific variant then I might skip this nuked shit and wait for Hammer Lake.
I suppose there will be hints on how a user can identify between the variants, maybe it becomes apparent from the CPU's behavior when it's undervolted, or overclocked etc.

Let's be clear I don't mind Intel entirely changing the compute tile from TSMC to their own, if they're confident that their node is good enough in order for Nova Lake to reach the performance targets then who cares? I certainly don't, I'm not rooting for TSMC to get contracts.
What I do mind is potentially mixed sourcing of the compute tile.
Posted on Reply
#15
Tek-Check
AntiX3DGlazerIntel was already planning to put 60-70% of NVL on its own nodes. AFAIK current leaks state that every tile except for the compute tiles and the 12 xe3P tile for X-series laptops will be on internal process nodes. Remember that compue tiles, while being one of the largest tiles on the package, is not always the majority of the silicon that is put onto the package. Thus, "60-70%" of tiles being from Intel Fondry is plausible given that the SoC and GPU are already on Intel for the vast majority of SKUs.
Yes. This seems to me a marketing stunt. If 18-AP had been that good for top desktop compute tile, we would have probably heard more details about it by now.
Posted on Reply
#16
Eliad Buchnik
Sol_BadguyHmm I don't like it. 👎

If indeed Nova Lake desktop would use two types of compute tiles, one made by TSMC and one made by Intel, then the inevitable differences between them would create two market segments among enthusiasts at least, so basically a minority of users but not negligible.

Because those differences would make the CPUs desirable for differents aspects at which each excels at compared to the other.
Maybe one is a better air OCer the other better on LN2, I don't know shit like that.
So stuff beyond stock conditions where both CPUs would perform the same.

Like right now how some RDNA4 buyers are hunting specifically for Samsung memory equipped cards.

So this definitely changes the way I would approach upgrading to Nova Lake. If it would force me to hunt for a specific variant then I might skip this nuked shit and wait for Hammer Lake.
I suppose there will be hints on how a user can identify between the variants, maybe it becomes apparent from the CPU's behavior when it's undervolted, or overclocked etc.

Let's be clear I don't mind Intel entirely changing the compute tile from TSMC to their own, if they're confident that their node is good enough in order for Nova Lake to reach the performance targets then who cares? I certainly don't, I'm not rooting for TSMC to get contracts.
What I do mind is potentially mixed sourcing of the compute tile.
I don't think Intel planned to create the same tile on two different nodes, the original plan was to make the lower end tile (which features less core cache etc. think of it as core 3 or maybe some core 5 parts) in house and use different higher performance tile (or even more then just one highend tile) made by TSMC. So if you bought some SKU of CPU it would've use just a specific tile. Now we will have to wait and see what they will use in the end, as it's all rumors right now.
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#17
TumbleGeorge
Maybe consumer Nova Lake is on intel process because is low quality than TMSC which capacity will be used for tiles for much more expensive series(for ai data centres)?
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#18
Eliad Buchnik
TumbleGeorgeMaybe consumer Nova Lake is on intel process because is low quality than TMSC which capacity will be used for tiles for much more expensive series(for ai data centres)?
Unlike AMD, intel does not reuses its tiles (or chiplets in AMD case), because for professional products they either use P or E core (not both at the same time). With AMD heterogenous design it's easier for them to reuser 1 CCDs. As for using TSMC for their professional platform, it was quite the opposite - until now they kept Xeon tiles in house despite usually being behind in performance, the clearwater forest (up to 288 e-cores CPU) uses their 18A process, and the upcoming diamond rapids (the successor to granite rapids) is planned to use their 18A-P process.
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#19
JohH
If by majority... you mean the low performance versions, maybe.
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#20
Dr. Dro
This could be good news for Arc graphics, as it means more wafers will be available to manufacture GPUs.
JohHIf by majority... you mean the low performance versions, maybe.
Intel processes have always been well suited for CPUs, I don't think we'll be losing performance here tbh
Posted on Reply
#21
TheinsanegamerN
Sol_BadguyHmm I don't like it. 👎

If indeed Nova Lake desktop would use two types of compute tiles, one made by TSMC and one made by Intel, then the inevitable differences between them would create two market segments among enthusiasts at least, so basically a minority of users but not negligible.

Because those differences would make the CPUs desirable for differents aspects at which each excels at compared to the other.
Maybe one is a better air OCer the other better on LN2, I don't know shit like that.
So stuff beyond stock conditions where both CPUs would perform the same.

Like right now how some RDNA4 buyers are hunting specifically for Samsung memory equipped cards.

So this definitely changes the way I would approach upgrading to Nova Lake. If it would force me to hunt for a specific variant then I might skip this nuked shit and wait for Hammer Lake.
I suppose there will be hints on how a user can identify between the variants, maybe it becomes apparent from the CPU's behavior when it's undervolted, or overclocked etc.

Let's be clear I don't mind Intel entirely changing the compute tile from TSMC to their own, if they're confident that their node is good enough in order for Nova Lake to reach the performance targets then who cares? I certainly don't, I'm not rooting for TSMC to get contracts.
What I do mind is potentially mixed sourcing of the compute tile.
I think we'd survive just fine.

Just like when Intel had Costa Rica CPUs that clocked and undervolted better then the Malaysian ones. Somehow, we survived a decade of that without melting down.
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#22
AntiX3DGlazer
BobaganooshA lot of the other tiles are often made with older process nodes anyway that don't require the newest/smallest node possible. I would think they would use whatever is the cheapest for those tiles, which would surprise me if it wasn't an older Intel node (as they wouldn't have to pay someone else for it). That would definitely make me think that if they outsourced anything, it would be the most complex tile and only because they had no other choice from a yield/cost/performance-target perspective.
Latest rumors suggested that GPU tile would remain on Intel 3 while SoC tile would use 18A. These are realtively new nodes. Arguably the SoC tile is the most complex of the bunch due to the interconnects, IPs, media engine, NPU, and IO functions that must be placed upon it.
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#23
overclockedamd
If Intel can really move 80–90% of Nova Lake compute production to 18A without delays, that’s a huge turnaround. But this is still an analyst estimate being amplified on social media, not Intel confirmation. I WANT it to be true, but whoa now.

As we all know analyst are right 100% of the time......
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#24
Sol_Badguy
TheinsanegamerNI think we'd survive just fine.

Just like when Intel had Costa Rica CPUs that clocked and undervolted better then the Malaysian ones. Somehow, we survived a decade of that without melting down.
In that case the chips were both made by Intel (perhaps at the same fab) and packaged at those different facilities.
This situation is different. How can Intel maintain "Copy Exactly!" when some tiles are made by TSMC?

If however we are talking about Intel fabs for specific SKUs, like CU3 and TSMC for the rest then it means we won't have the same SKU with potentially two types of compute tiles.

The last thing a (supposedly) long lived socket needs at its debut is silicon lottery madness (beyond the relatively insignificant usual, but now with two tile types potentially becoming very significant), where people are hunting for a specific variant which might not even be available in their region.
This would hurt adoption in the DIY market badly. After all Arrow Lake had poor adoption because the reviews were generally unfavorable (mostly gaming wise) and DIYers were almost unanimously swayed by Zen X3D.
Having two tile types means a lower common denominator when it comes to specs in order to keep consistency with voltages, clocks, temps etc.

I really don't think these fears will materialize but in the off chance that they might and the hype train is about to crash I want to be prepared to jump off.
Like the saying goes: hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
Posted on Reply
#25
tsurugi
XeonsNOpteronsThis sounds pretty great! 18A should be more performant than N2, though somewhat less dense, so we shall see a how this pans out. Maybe it will be Nova Lake that actually clocks higher, though if this rumor is true, I doubt they only recently switched nodes. You need to do a new full set of tests to refine voltage frequency curves for all your chips, which is time intensive.

But overall, if this is true, it is very good as it means more competition also on nodes.
I do not think 18a-p is better than n2p, 18a-p performance is like n2 not n2p
Not sure what has happened yet. 80-90% sounds like intel has shifted the production of the 4+8 compute tile in-house, which is mainly for laptop compute. For intel, this means higher gross margins and more flexible pricing. Since intel dominates the laptop market and amd cannot compete, it is understandable that intel uses an inferior internal node for laptops, but 18a-p should still be better than the n3p that amd uses in laptops.
Sol_BadguyThis situation is different. How can Intel maintain "Copy Exactly!" when some tiles are made by TSMC?
Copy exactly is mainly about logic nodes. Intel first tests advanced nodes at d1x, then expands production in other fabs, maintaining copy exactly during this process. TSMC does better; their n2 R&D is in a gigafab, with higher output than d1x, and then they start construction at another location almost simultaneously. At the packaging level, it is not related to copy exactly.
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