Monday, November 5th 2018

Hold on to Your $: DRAM Pricing Now Expected to Drop Towards, Into 2019

A DRAM market pricing watch report from DRAMeXchange, a division of Trendforce, has just outed a prediction for DRAM price drops towards 2019 and into the same year. The report points to already-decreased by 10.14% pricing (US$34.5 in 3Q18 to the current US$31) for 4GB PC DRAM modules in the market, relative to the previous quarter, as a sign for continued drops. 8 GB DRAM module pricing has declined by 10.29%, signaling an increased inventory of those parts.

The report also states that suppliers have just reached the inflection point for oversupply, despite continued efforts from manufacturers to artificially decrease manufacturing to keep a strain on demand. The report further states that "The ASP in the whole DRAM market is forecast to fall by as much as around 20% YoY in 2019, according to DRAMeXchange's latest analysis. After reaching peak profit in 3Q18, DRAM suppliers are now optimizing their costs so that they will have a soft landing in 2019 as prices are marked down every quarter."
Source: DRAMeXchange
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22 Comments on Hold on to Your $: DRAM Pricing Now Expected to Drop Towards, Into 2019

#1
hat
Enthusiast
How's it gonna go down when Samsung, at least, blatantly came out and said they were slowing down production to maintain higher prices?
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#2
R0H1T
I'll believe it when I see it, the rumors of falling prices are less credible with each passing day.
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#3
kastriot
"For example, G.Skill's Ripjaws V DDR4-3000/CL15 2x8 GB kit (F4-3000C15D-16GVGB) costs $61.99" <----July 25, 2016
Today @ Amazon 130.91$
2x more expensive
20% less -26$+130=100$ still 38$ more expensive than 2 years ago..<---And that maybe just maybe..
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#4
Venger
Still waiting for those 2016 prices... Technology pricing is suppose to go DOWN as the tech gets older.
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#5
bonehead123
Need I say it....

The 3 rules of Capitalism 101:

1. Supply
2. Demand
3. Supply and demand.....
Posted on Reply
#7
ghazi
With all the price fixing going on I doubt it.
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#8
jboydgolfer
its about as low as it will be where it is now. i paid $50/4Gb's of Ballistix Sport LT. Now that same Set of Ram is a little less than $40/4Gb's . the lowest ive seen DDR4 is $70/16Gb's (2x8Gb's) Avexir Ram. I dont think it will go back to that low, but $10/Gb is where it will rest roughly (imo)
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#9
TheGuruStud
Sure, wait till zen 2 launch. Anyone remember what happened after zen launch? Lol

"Oh, I'm sorry" *rubs nipples*
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#10
ZoneDymo
I wish at times like these some totally new company would rise up to just shake the establishment.
Some company that would make some HBM ram memory sticks or something throwing everyone into a frenzy.
Posted on Reply
#11
Vayra86
"ZoneDymo said:
I wish at times like these some totally new company would rise up to just shake the establishment.
Some company that would make some HBM ram memory sticks or something throwing everyone into a frenzy.
Unfortunately a production line doesn't appear overnight :(
Posted on Reply
#12
ArbitraryAffection
I was going to wait and get new RAM to replace my 2x4GB Teamgroup 2400mhz kit, but I tried OC'ing it and it does 3000mhz pretty easily with a bit more voltage, so I went ahead and bought another 8GB to make 16GB. Total cost is £140 for 4x4GB, running at 3000 MHz 16-16-16-36 (which is even better considering it's 2DPC & Ryzen). So it's not top-of-the-line speed and timings but I'm still pretty chuffed considering 3GHz 16GB kits are usually nearing £200 or more these days.
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#13
Prima.Vera
I don't think the prices will go down for the simple reasons that there is not enough competition. This is not 90's or early 2000's when there was a huge competition on the RAM market both for capacity and speed increase. Remember going for 4MB-->8MB-->16MB made a huge difference? Then Windows 98 came then we went to 32 and 64MB, Windows XP pushed from 128MB to 512MB, and then with the latest Service Packs all the way to 1,2, 4GB of RAM . Windows Vista was the final resource hog OS when most of the peopel were going for minimum 4GB up to 8GB and just recently 16GB.... Since Win 10 has way lower reqs than Vista having 16 or 32GB of RAM it almost makes no difference, while any speed above DDR4 2666MHz doesn't make also any significant difference.
So naturally nothing interesting is happening right now on RAM market to be honest, just price stagnating due to a very stable Supply/Demand line.
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#14
Mayclore
I would love to buy a 32GB kit of 3200MHz. If the price is right.
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#15
adulaamin
I got this unused kit for 500.00 USD a week ago. I don't need it at the moment but I think the price was ok. I now have a reason to replace my 4790K and M7 Formula if the wife permits. :oops:
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#16
Pruny
"Prima.Vera said:
I don't think the prices will go down for the simple reasons that there is not enough competition. This is not 90's or early 2000's when there was a huge competition on the RAM market both for capacity and speed increase. Remember going for 4MB-->8MB-->16MB made a huge difference? Then Windows 98 came then we went to 32 and 64MB, Windows XP pushed from 128MB to 512MB, and then with the latest Service Packs all the way to 1,2, 4GB of RAM . Windows Vista was the final resource hog OS when most of the peopel were going for minimum 4GB up to 8GB and just recently 16GB.... Since Win 10 has way lower reqs than Vista having 16 or 32GB of RAM it almost makes no difference, while any speed above DDR4 2666MHz doesn't make also any significant difference.
So naturally nothing interesting is happening right now on RAM market to be honest, just price stagnating due to a very stable Supply/Demand line.
Windows doesnt require more ram, games do. I have 8gigs and its enough for me in farcry5.
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#17
yotano211
"TheTechGuy1337 said:
I don't believe it one bit.
I see your bit and raise you a kilo-bit.
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#18
ironwolf
"kastriot said:
"For example, G.Skill's Ripjaws V DDR4-3000/CL15 2x8 GB kit (F4-3000C15D-16GVGB) costs $61.99" <----July 25, 2016
Today @ Amazon 130.91$
2x more expensive
20% less -26$+130=100$ still 38$ more expensive than 2 years ago..<---And that maybe just maybe..
Ouch, that same kit is "only" $109.99 at Newegg right now. It's on sale there.
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#19
ppn
Of course, Im holding for DDR5 and 7nm EUV cpu,gpu,ram,ssd, all.
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#20
CandymanGR
Prices in Greece are slightly dropping for the last 3-4 months. Still too high though.
For example:
16gb Gskill Ripjaws 3200MHz have reached 135 euros. It was 160 euros a couple of months ago.
16gb Corsair Vengeance LPX 3000MHz are now at 128 euros. It was 170 euros at July.

I am hoping they will drop more so i can "hit" a set of TridentZ RGB. :)
Posted on Reply
#21
StrayKAT
"ppn said:
Of course, Im holding for DDR5 and 7nm EUV cpu,gpu,ram,ssd, all.
I'd like to get some 16GB modules (32GB) at least, but after that, yeah.. I probably won't purchase any hardware until the above starts rolling out.
Posted on Reply
#22
NJSmirk
It has happened before. It was a while back. I think in the late 90's that some major catastrophe in Taiwan? (not positive) caused the prices to go sky high and then drop really low .
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