Friday, August 30th 2024
Report: Intel Could Spin Out Foundry Business or Cancel Some Expansion Plans to Control Losses
According to a recent report from Bloomberg, Intel is in talks with investment banks about a possible spin-out of its foundry business, as well as scraping some existing expansion plans to cut losses. As the report highlights, sources close to Intel noted that the company is exploring various ways to deal with the recent Q2 2024 earnings report. While Intel's revenues are in decline, they are still high. However, the profitability of running its business has declined so much that the company is now operating on a net loss, with an astonishing $1.61 billion in the red. CEO Pat Gelsinger is now exploring various ways to control these losses and make the 56-year-old giant profitable again. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are reportedly advising Intel about its future moves regarding the foundry business and overall operations.
The Intel Foundry unit represents the biggest consumer of the company's funds, as the expansion plans across the US and Europe are costing Intel billions of US Dollars. Even though the company receives various state subsidies to build semiconductor manufacturing facilities, it still has to put much of its capital to work. Given that the company is running tight on funds, some of these expansion plans that are not business-critical may get scraped. Additionally, running the foundry business is also turning out to be rather costly, with Q2 2024 recording a negative 65.5% operating margin. Separating Intel Product and Intel Foundry may be an option, or even selling the foundry business as a whole is on the table. Whatever happens next is yet to be cleared up. During the Deutsche Bank Technology Conference on Thursday, Pat Gelsinger also noted that "It's been a difficult few weeks" for Intel, with many employees getting laid off to try to establish new cost-saving measures.
Source:
Bloomberg
The Intel Foundry unit represents the biggest consumer of the company's funds, as the expansion plans across the US and Europe are costing Intel billions of US Dollars. Even though the company receives various state subsidies to build semiconductor manufacturing facilities, it still has to put much of its capital to work. Given that the company is running tight on funds, some of these expansion plans that are not business-critical may get scraped. Additionally, running the foundry business is also turning out to be rather costly, with Q2 2024 recording a negative 65.5% operating margin. Separating Intel Product and Intel Foundry may be an option, or even selling the foundry business as a whole is on the table. Whatever happens next is yet to be cleared up. During the Deutsche Bank Technology Conference on Thursday, Pat Gelsinger also noted that "It's been a difficult few weeks" for Intel, with many employees getting laid off to try to establish new cost-saving measures.
113 Comments on Report: Intel Could Spin Out Foundry Business or Cancel Some Expansion Plans to Control Losses
$1500 for entry level cpu + motherboard inbound, and unfortunately that is likely not an exaggeration. In fact, probably wishful thinking.
OOT: There's a perverse incentivization from several angles to pursue the above. Investors haven't the patience they used to, and aren't likely to hold on for multiple quarters of losses. Gotta keep that stock price up. As an exec, your salary package is likely heavily composed of stock options. Gotta keep that stock price up. And since you're not really on the hook in any meaningful way if things go south, why not kill that golden goose, right?
EDIT: spelling
even at node disadvantages they are able to produce competitive products.
The only reason they are in trouble is because they have been going in to debt because everyone wanted them to build more fabs after covid had shown how vulnerable the global supply chain is.
It still is and will be even more vulnerable if intel were to go down.
Intel's poor numbers aren't unique, everything but AI bullshit has shown poor performance in the market
If they choose to hard-split the fabs in order to get more business and further reduce the risk of conflicting interests with rivals' designs, the fabs could possibly become a powerhouse if non-Intel groups are able to leverage their IP better than Intel could and come up with competitive chips on their nodes and processes. Such as AMD maybe putting Foveros to better use than Intel could, given their longer experience with chiplet designs, or Qualcomm doing similar, in theoretical examples. As well, having more companies simply booking and doing business with their fabs would be more important to Intel Fabs than just mostly doing Intel-only chips, and could help them stay in the game.
they all know what they are working on already
Secondly, Intel likely will make money from selling their new Arrow and Lunar Lake, but their idle fabs are going to drag them down. If they have no major take up to keep the fabs utilised, and they themselves are not using it, you can imagine it’s going to be very underused. In other words, Intel will need to pay 2 fabs, TSMC and their own fab overhead and maintenance cost. So even if Arrow and Lunar Lake are successful, Intel will still run a loss. Assuming their transfer all these cost to consumers, they risk losing more market share to competitors from ARM and AMD. So I think they kind of checkmate themselves. I don’t wish them to drop out of the competition, but I am also unsure what they are doing to turn the situation around. It won’t be a quick fix to sort out decades of mismanagement.
From what I've read Zen 6 desktop will be on N3E but Panther Lake will unveil 18A and we start to see Intel's 2nmm class node and advanced tile design with BSPD really starting to shine. Nova Lake which will be Zen 6's real competitor will at least be 16A or maybe 14A well in advance of N3E.
So assuming Intel's foundry can deliver going forward Intel will be the box seat against AMD relying on the much older TSMC nodes.
Many probably think this already, that's why Intel's share price skyrocketed yesterday after the rumors that Intel is thinking of selling it's fabs. But I think that as long as their plan isn't derailed yet, they should keep pushing the idea of becoming a US based TSMC and keep Pat in place.
Intel spent over $24 Billion in the last 12 months on capital. That's like 2 years of revenue, which is to say it would be like giving away all its chips for free for 2 years. Even so, they still have 12 billion in cash.
The only reason why TSMC got to where they are today is because everyone practically threw money their way. It's easy to spend money when it's someone else's money.
They demanded money from the CHIPS Act for purpose of building more and updating their current foundries in the US indirectly creating more jobs which is the end goal.
Instead took that money and gave it to shareholders, fired a bunch of people, and now are looking to get rid of their foundries.
Am I missing something, shouldn't Intel leadership be on trial for fraud or was the CHIPS Act just a means for Intel to recieve a bailout without it looking like they're getting a bailout?
To this day, the National Development Fund is the #1 shareholder of TSMC.